PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Kocaelispor 2–0 Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Kocaelispor won 2–0.

Shots
1916
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.31.03
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kocaelispor beat Gaziantep FK 2–0. Recorded in this match (Kocaelispor – Gaziantep FK): shots 19–16, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.3–1.03, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kocaelispor's recent record differs from the season

weak

Kocaelispor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots16 shotsKocaelispor 19 shots, Gaziantep FK 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsKocaelispor 5 shots, Gaziantep FK 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG1.03 xGKocaelispor 1.3 xG, Gaziantep FK 1.03 xG
  • Possession51%49%Kocaelispor 51%, Gaziantep FK 49%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersKocaelispor 1 corner, Gaziantep FK 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsKocaelispor 16 fouls, Gaziantep FK 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsKocaelispor 1 card, Gaziantep FK 2 cards
  • Passes455 passes433 passesKocaelispor 455 passes, Gaziantep FK 433 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.3%80.8%Kocaelispor 79.3%, Gaziantep FK 80.8%
  • Shots inside box12 shots10 shotsKocaelispor 12 shots, Gaziantep FK 10 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks3 blocksKocaelispor 7 blocks, Gaziantep FK 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesKocaelispor 3 saves, Gaziantep FK 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesKocaelispor 1 offside, Gaziantep FK 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 37′Halil DervişoğluYellow card · Gaziantep FK
  2. Half-time
  3. 56′Berkan KutluGoal · Kocaelispor
  4. 63′Gonçalo SousaYellow card · Kocaelispor
  5. 63′Kacper KozłowskiYellow card · Gaziantep FK
  6. 76′Dan AgyeiGoal · Kocaelispor
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 24′Kocaelispor · 1 player changeMuharrem Cinan
  • 60′Gaziantep FK · 2 player changesDrissa Camara · Sontje Hansen
  • 70′Gaziantep FK · 2 player changesSerdar Dursun · Juninho Bacuna
  • 74′Kocaelispor · 2 player changesMakana Baku · Dan Agyei
  • 79′Gaziantep FK · 1 player changeTrivante Stewart
  • 87′Kocaelispor · 1 player changeTayfur Bingöl
  • 88′Kocaelispor · 1 player changeEge Bilim

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Kocaelispor
0Draws
2Gaziantep FK
Kocaelispor — Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig3–0
Gaziantep FK — Kocaelispor · Turkish Cup1–0
Gaziantep FK — Kocaelispor · Süper Lig2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kocaelispor favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Gaziantep FK in 4 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kocaelispor6 matchesGaziantep FK6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.17 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.17 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals6/60.96 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 13 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.33 shots/match
47.2%Possession6/6● 48.8%
2.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 3.5 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls6/613.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKocaelisporGaziantep FK
CompetitionSüper Lig
Head-to-headKocaelispor — Gaziantep FK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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