PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Wolverhampton 1–0 West Bromwich Albion · Championship

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Wolverhampton won 1–0.

Shots
157
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.960.27
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wolverhampton beat West Bromwich Albion 1–0. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – West Bromwich Albion): shots 15–7, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.96–0.27, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

West Bromwich Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsWolverhampton · West Bromwich Albion9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match9.75 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

West Bromwich Albion have a visible away split

weak

West Bromwich Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.75 shots/match9.75 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsWolverhampton 15 shots, West Bromwich Albion 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsWolverhampton 6 shots, West Bromwich Albion 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.96 xG0.27 xGWolverhampton 1.96 xG, West Bromwich Albion 0.27 xG
  • Possession45%55%Wolverhampton 45%, West Bromwich Albion 55%
  • Corners8 corners7 cornersWolverhampton 8 corners, West Bromwich Albion 7 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls13 foulsWolverhampton 18 fouls, West Bromwich Albion 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsWolverhampton 1 card, West Bromwich Albion 2 cards
  • Passes338 passes420 passesWolverhampton 338 passes, West Bromwich Albion 420 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.7%79.5%Wolverhampton 81.7%, West Bromwich Albion 79.5%
  • Shots inside box12 shots2 shotsWolverhampton 12 shots, West Bromwich Albion 2 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks1 blockWolverhampton 6 blocks, West Bromwich Albion 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves5 savesWolverhampton 2 saves, West Bromwich Albion 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesWolverhampton 2 offsides, West Bromwich Albion 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 25′Jayson MolumbyYellow card · West Bromwich Albion
  2. 44′Nathaniel PhillipsYellow card · West Bromwich Albion
  3. Half-time
  4. 50′Fer LópezGoal · Wolverhampton
  5. 69′Marshall MunetsiYellow card · Wolverhampton
  6. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 61′West Bromwich Albion · 2 player changesBarney Stewart · Rabby Nzingoula
  • 73′Wolverhampton · 2 player changesJean-Ricner Bellegarde · Tommy Doyle
  • 78′Wolverhampton · 1 player changeJordan James
  • 84′West Bromwich Albion · 2 player changesKareem Tunde · Toby Collyer
  • 88′Wolverhampton · 2 player changesSean Neave · Boubacar Traoré

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Wolverhampton4-2-3-1
  1. José SáG
  2. Hugo BuenoD
  3. Nasser DjigaD
  4. Ladislav KrejčíD
  5. Jackson TchatchouaD
  6. Marshall MunetsiM
  7. AndréM
  8. Fer LópezM
  9. Jordan JamesF
  10. Adam ArmstrongF
  11. Mateus ManéF
West Bromwich Albion4-2-3-1
  1. Max O'LearyG
  2. Nathaniel PhillipsD
  3. Callum StylesD
  4. George CampbellD
  5. Conor TownsendD
  6. Jayson MolumbyM
  7. Jimmy MorganM
  8. Rabby NzingoulaM
  9. Aune Selland HeggebøF
  10. Isaac PriceF
  11. Harry WhitwellF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton7 matchesWest Bromwich Albion8 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/81.25 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/8▲ 1 goal/match
1.82 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/81.02 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/89.75 shots/match
4.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/83.75 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession7/852.9%
6.29 corners/match ●Corners7/84.88 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls7/810.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWolverhamptonWest Bromwich Albion
CompetitionChampionship
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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