PitchMath
Segunda División · 2026

Almería 2–0 Celta Vigo B · Segunda División

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Almería won 2–0.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
61
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Almería beat Celta Vigo B 2–0. Recorded in this match (Almería – Celta Vigo B): shots 16–12, shots on target 6–1, possession 51%–49%, corners 2–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Almería have a visible home split

weak

Almería's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Celta Vigo B's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo B's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsAlmería 16 shots, Celta Vigo B 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotAlmería 6 shots, Celta Vigo B 1 shot
  • Possession51%49%Almería 51%, Celta Vigo B 49%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersAlmería 2 corners, Celta Vigo B 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsAlmería 14 fouls, Celta Vigo B 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardAlmería 0 cards, Celta Vigo B 1 card
  • Passes481 passes452 passesAlmería 481 passes, Celta Vigo B 452 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.1%88.1%Almería 86.1%, Celta Vigo B 88.1%
  • Shots inside box12 shots8 shotsAlmería 12 shots, Celta Vigo B 8 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksAlmería 1 block, Celta Vigo B 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesAlmería 1 save, Celta Vigo B 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides4 offsidesAlmería 2 offsides, Celta Vigo B 4 offsides

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Almería4-2-3-1
  1. Andrés FernándezG
  2. Marcos LunaD
  3. Leonardo LeloD
  4. Federico BoniniD
  5. Rodrigo ElyD
  6. Sergio ArribasM
  7. Javier MuñozM
  8. Stefan DžodićM
  9. Léo BaptistãoF
  10. Brian CipengaF
  11. Miguel de la FuenteF
Celta Vigo B3-4-3
  1. Coke CarrilloG
  2. Kike RibesD
  3. Joel López SalgueroD
  4. Anxo RodríguezD
  5. Alexis OlmedoD
  6. Germain MillaD
  7. Adrià CapdevilaM
  8. Mateo SobralM
  9. Álvaro MarínF
  10. Óscar MarcosF
  11. Ángel ArcosF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Almería favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo B in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Almería6 matchesCelta Vigo B6 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
11.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 13 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5 shots/match
54% ●Possession6/648.8%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/6● 3.83 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/613 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Segunda División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAlmeríaCelta Vigo B
CompetitionSegunda División
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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