Estoril Praia 1–2 Casa Pia — Match Stats & Analysis

Primeira Liga · 2026Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC

Estoril Praia

LLLDL

1–2Full-time analysis

Casa Pia

LLLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Casa Pia won 1–2.

Shots: 1411
Shots on target: 63
Expected goals: 0.952.17
Possession: 53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Casa Pia beat Estoril Praia 2–1. Recorded in this match (Estoril Praia – Casa Pia): shots 14–11, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.95–2.17, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Casa Pia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Casa Pia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.43 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.43 goals/match	1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Estoril Praia have a visible home split

weak

Estoril Praia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16 shots/match	12.7 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Estoril Praia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Estoril Praia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsEstoril Praia · Casa Pia10.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Estoril Praia	Casa Pia	Baseline
Shots	12.7 shots/match	10.3 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	13.9 shots/match	15.7 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

Shots14 shots11 shotsEstoril Praia 14 shots, Casa Pia 11 shots
Shots on target6 shots3 shotsEstoril Praia 6 shots, Casa Pia 3 shots
Expected goals0.95 xG2.17 xGEstoril Praia 0.95 xG, Casa Pia 2.17 xG
Possession53%47%Estoril Praia 53%, Casa Pia 47%
Corners7 corners4 cornersEstoril Praia 7 corners, Casa Pia 4 corners
Fouls7 fouls11 foulsEstoril Praia 7 fouls, Casa Pia 11 fouls
Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsEstoril Praia 3 cards, Casa Pia 2 cards
Passes392 passes347 passesEstoril Praia 392 passes, Casa Pia 347 passes
Pass accuracy76.5%78.1%Estoril Praia 76.5%, Casa Pia 78.1%
Shots inside box7 shots7 shotsEstoril Praia 7 shots, Casa Pia 7 shots
Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockEstoril Praia 2 blocks, Casa Pia 1 block
Goalkeeper saves0 saves5 savesEstoril Praia 0 saves, Casa Pia 5 saves
Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesEstoril Praia 0 offsides, Casa Pia 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

27′Henrique AraújoPenalty missed · Casa Pia
41′Ismael Sierra ArnalYellow card · Estoril Praia
Half-time
62′David SousaYellow card · Casa Pia
70′Ricard SánchezGoal · Estoril Praia
72′Selvi ClúaGoal · Casa Pia
82′Yanis BegraouiYellow card · Estoril Praia
85′Jordan ArnolinYellow card · Estoril Praia
89′Benjamin PauwelsGoal · Casa Pia
90′Alassana JattaYellow card · Casa Pia
Full time

Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute

46′Estoril Praia · 1 player changeJordan Arnolin
46′Casa Pia · 1 player changeAlassana Jatta
60′Estoril Praia · 2 player changesAntef Tsoungui · Rafik Guitane
65′Casa Pia · 2 player changesEvans Fabrice Maurin · Benjamin Pauwels
74′Casa Pia · 1 player changeSebastián Pérez
80′Estoril Praia · 2 player changesPedro Carvalho · André Lacximicant
87′Casa Pia · 1 player changeAbdu Dafe

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Estoril Praia

3Draws

1Casa Pia

7 Mar 2026Estoril Praia — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga0–0

3 Oct 2025Casa Pia — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga2–2

29 Apr 2025Casa Pia — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga1–3

15 Dec 2024Estoril Praia — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga0–2

8 Apr 2024Casa Pia — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estoril Praia favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Casa Pia in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estoril Praia7 matchesCasa Pia7 matches

0.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/70.43 goals/match

1.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.29 goals/match

0.82 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 0.89 xG/match

12.7 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.3 shots/match

4.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.71 shots/match

46.1% ●Possession7/744.7%

4.86 corners/match ●Corners7/74.14 corners/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Match at a glance

What the match recorded