PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

Vitória SC 1–1 Moreirense · Primeira Liga

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vitória SC and Moreirense drew 1–1.

Shots
157
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.050.52
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória SC and Moreirense drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Vitória SC – Moreirense): shots 15–7, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.05–0.52, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vitória SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vitória SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsVitória SC · Moreirense7.29 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVitória SCMoreirenseBaseline
Shots19 shots/match7.29 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against7.14 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Vitória SC have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.7% ●PossessionVitória SC · Moreirense35.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVitória SCMoreirenseBaseline
Possession55.7%35.9%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Vitória SC have a visible home split

weak

Vitória SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

22.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season19 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots22.8 shots/match19 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsVitória SC 15 shots, Moreirense 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsVitória SC 5 shots, Moreirense 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.05 xG0.52 xGVitória SC 1.05 xG, Moreirense 0.52 xG
  • Possession66%34%Vitória SC 66%, Moreirense 34%
  • Corners3 corners0 cornersVitória SC 3 corners, Moreirense 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsVitória SC 10 fouls, Moreirense 13 fouls
  • Passes641 passes332 passesVitória SC 641 passes, Moreirense 332 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.7%75.6%Vitória SC 86.7%, Moreirense 75.6%
  • Shots inside box10 shots4 shotsVitória SC 10 shots, Moreirense 4 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks0 blocksVitória SC 3 blocks, Moreirense 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesVitória SC 2 saves, Moreirense 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesVitória SC 1 offside, Moreirense 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. Half-time
  2. 52′Tiago AndradeGoal · Moreirense
  3. 90′Toni BorevkovićGoal · Vitória SC
  4. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 12′Vitória SC · 1 player changeMiguel Nogueira
  • 57′Vitória SC · 3 player changesBeni Mukendi · Samu · Matija Mitrović
  • 63′Moreirense · 2 player changesChipyoka Songa · Yan Maranhão
  • 66′Moreirense · 1 player changeRodrigo Alonso
  • 67′Moreirense · 1 player changeLanderson
  • 72′Vitória SC · 1 player changeVictor Andersson
  • 89′Moreirense · 1 player changeKevyn Monteiro

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Vitória SC
  1. Oliwier ZychG
  2. João MendesD
  3. Toni BorevkovićD
  4. Tony StrataD
  5. Thiago BalieiroD
  6. Gonçalo NogueiraM
  7. AlanM
  8. Lohann DoucetM
  9. Oumar CamaraF
  10. Arnel JakupovićF
  11. Gustavo SilvaF
Moreirense
  1. André FerreiraG
  2. MaracásD
  3. KikoD
  4. Gilberto BatistaD
  5. Dinis PintoD
  6. Manuel MendonçaM
  7. Nile JohnM
  8. Guilherme LiberatoM
  9. Kiko BondosoF
  10. Tiago AndradeF
  11. Leonardo VonićF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Vitória SC
1Draws
1Moreirense
Vitória SC — Moreirense · Primeira Liga1–0
Moreirense — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga2–0
Moreirense — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga2–2
Vitória SC — Moreirense · Primeira Liga1–0
Vitória SC — Moreirense · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória SC favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Moreirense in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória SC7 matchesMoreirense7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.68 xG/match
19 shots/match ▲Shots7/77.29 shots/match
4.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.86 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession7/735.9%
5.71 corners/match ●Corners7/72.14 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls7/714 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitória SCMoreirense
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headVitória SC — Moreirense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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