PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026

FC St. Pauli 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC St. Pauli and SpVgg Greuther Fürth drew 1–1.

Shots
1815
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
1.951.6
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC St. Pauli and SpVgg Greuther Fürth drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (FC St. Pauli – SpVgg Greuther Fürth): shots 18–15, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 1.95–1.6, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots15 shotsFC St. Pauli 18 shots, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsFC St. Pauli 6 shots, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.95 xG1.6 xGFC St. Pauli 1.95 xG, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.6 xG
  • Possession58%42%FC St. Pauli 58%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 42%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersFC St. Pauli 9 corners, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls5 foulsFC St. Pauli 4 fouls, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsFC St. Pauli 1 card, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 cards
  • Passes516 passes392 passesFC St. Pauli 516 passes, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 392 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.4%83.4%FC St. Pauli 86.4%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 83.4%
  • Shots inside box11 shots8 shotsFC St. Pauli 11 shots, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 8 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks3 blocksFC St. Pauli 8 blocks, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves5 savesFC St. Pauli 6 saves, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 saves
  • Offsides7 offsides2 offsidesFC St. Pauli 7 offsides, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Louis Oppie · FC St. Pauli · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKrisztián Keresztes · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 57′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJannik Dehm · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLouis Oppie · FC St. Pauli · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAaron Keller · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartijn Kaars · FC St. Pauli · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBranimir Hrgota · FC St. Pauli · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJannik Dehm · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBranimir Hrgota · FC St. Pauli · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMathias Rasmussen · FC St. Pauli · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJannik Dehm · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTaichi Hara · FC St. Pauli · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMartijn Kaars · FC St. Pauli · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMartijn Kaars · FC St. Pauli · 68′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDennis Srbeny · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 52′ · 0.10 xG · goalFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 36′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMarcus Mathisen · FC St. Pauli · 46′ · 0.15 xG · goalTomoya Ando · FC St. Pauli · 25′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMika Wallentowitz · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMathias Rasmussen · FC St. Pauli · 60′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDavid Nemeth · FC St. Pauli · 25′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedBranimir Hrgota · FC St. Pauli · 88′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMartijn Kaars · FC St. Pauli · 13′ · 0.20 xG · on targetDavid Nemeth · FC St. Pauli · 68′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedDennis Srbeny · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 90′ · 0.27 xG · on targetTaichi Hara · FC St. Pauli · 55′ · 0.32 xG · on targetFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 19′ · 0.61 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC St. Pauli: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.91 xG. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.63 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Marcus Mathisen · FC St. Pauli · 46′Felix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC St. Pauli 1.91 xG · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC St. Pauli
2Draws
0SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC St. Pauli — SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga3–2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga0–0
FC St. Pauli — SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga2–1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • FC St. Pauli1 matches
  • SpVgg Greuther Fürth1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

FC St. Pauli

Competition
Bundesliga
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
25 May 2026
  • Goals scored0.85 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.76 goals/match
  • Expected goals0.89 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.68 xG/match
  • Shots10.2 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.4 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.35 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.41 shots/match
  • Possession44.4%
  • Corners4.74 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.15 corners/match
  • Cards1.58 cards/match
  • Fouls9.59 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency15%
  • Scoring frequency62%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Competition2. Bundesliga
Head-to-headFC St. Pauli — SpVgg Greuther Fürth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this