2. Bundesliga · 2026Full timeMillerntor-StadionFull-time analysis
11Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Shots18 shots 15 shots
Shots on target6 shots7 shots
Expected goals1.95 xG 1.6 xG
Possession58% 42%
Corners9 corners 2 corners
Fouls4 fouls5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Louis Oppie · FC St. Pauli · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKrisztián Keresztes · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 57′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJannik Dehm · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLouis Oppie · FC St. Pauli · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAaron Keller · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartijn Kaars · FC St. Pauli · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBranimir Hrgota · FC St. Pauli · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJannik Dehm · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBranimir Hrgota · FC St. Pauli · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMathias Rasmussen · FC St. Pauli · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJannik Dehm · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTaichi Hara · FC St. Pauli · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMartijn Kaars · FC St. Pauli · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMartijn Kaars · FC St. Pauli · 68′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDennis Srbeny · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 52′ · 0.10 xG · goalFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 36′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMarcus Mathisen · FC St. Pauli · 46′ · 0.15 xG · goalTomoya Ando · FC St. Pauli · 25′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMika Wallentowitz · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMathias Rasmussen · FC St. Pauli · 60′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDavid Nemeth · FC St. Pauli · 25′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedBranimir Hrgota · FC St. Pauli · 88′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMartijn Kaars · FC St. Pauli · 13′ · 0.20 xG · on targetDavid Nemeth · FC St. Pauli · 68′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedDennis Srbeny · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 90′ · 0.27 xG · on targetTaichi Hara · FC St. Pauli · 55′ · 0.32 xG · on targetFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 19′ · 0.61 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC St. Pauli: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.91 xG. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.63 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Marcus Mathisen · FC St. Pauli · 46′Felix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC St. Pauli 1.91 xG · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.63 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

FC St. Pauli and SpVgg Greuther Fürth drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (FC St. Pauli – SpVgg Greuther Fürth): shots 18–15, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 1.95–1.6, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

2FC St. Pauli
2Draws
0SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga32
SpVgg Greuther FürthFC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga00
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga21
SpVgg Greuther FürthFC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga22

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • FC St. Pauli1 matches
  • SpVgg Greuther Fürth1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

FC St. Pauli

Competition
Bundesliga
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
25 May 2026
  • Goals scored0.85 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.76 goals/match
  • Expected goals0.89 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.68 xG/match
  • Shots10.2 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.4 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.35 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.41 shots/match
  • Possession44.4%
  • Corners4.74 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.15 corners/match
  • Cards1.58 cards/match
  • Fouls9.59 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency15%
  • Scoring frequency62%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4