2. Bundesliga · 2026Full timeStadion der FreundschaftFull-time analysis
31Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEnergie CottbusHannover 96
Shots12 shots27 shots
Shots on target4 shots10 shots
Expected goals1.41 xG2.72 xG
Possession45%55%
Corners2 corners6 corners
Fouls11 fouls11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Henry Rorig · Energie Cottbus · 73′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedStefán Teitur Þórðarson · Hannover 96 · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Källman · Hannover 96 · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTaycan Etcibasi · Hannover 96 · 84′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKolja Oudenne · Hannover 96 · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetStefán Teitur Þórðarson · Hannover 96 · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLars Timo Gindorf · Hannover 96 · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKolja Oudenne · Hannover 96 · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMustapha Bundu · Hannover 96 · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Copado · Energie Cottbus · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKolja Oudenne · Hannover 96 · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJean Hugonet · Hannover 96 · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMustapha Bundu · Hannover 96 · 41′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLars Timo Gindorf · Hannover 96 · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWaniss Taibi · Hannover 96 · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJustin Butler · Energie Cottbus · 76′ · 0.04 xG · goalTolcay Ciğerci · Energie Cottbus · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFousseny Doumbia · Energie Cottbus · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Hannemann · Energie Cottbus · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTolcay Ciğerci · Energie Cottbus · 14′ · 0.06 xG · goalLars Timo Gindorf · Hannover 96 · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · Energie Cottbus · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTolcay Ciğerci · Energie Cottbus · 13′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKolja Oudenne · Hannover 96 · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKing Manu · Energie Cottbus · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTolcay Ciğerci · Energie Cottbus · 12′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMaurice Neubauer · Hannover 96 · 28′ · 0.09 xG · goalJean Hugonet · Hannover 96 · 86′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLars Timo Gindorf · Hannover 96 · 18′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLars Timo Gindorf · Hannover 96 · 41′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBenjamin Källman · Hannover 96 · 35′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLars Timo Gindorf · Hannover 96 · 54′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLars Timo Gindorf · Hannover 96 · 37′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBenedikt Pichler · Hannover 96 · 63′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedKolja Oudenne · Hannover 96 · 15′ · 0.21 xG · on targetLars Timo Gindorf · Hannover 96 · 45′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedJean Hugonet · Hannover 96 · 21′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedLars Timo Gindorf · Hannover 96 · 37′ · 0.49 xG · on targetTolcay Ciğerci · Energie Cottbus · 71′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Energie Cottbus: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.43 xG. Hannover 96: 27 shots, 10 on target, 2.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Tolcay Ciğerci · Energie Cottbus · 14′Tolcay Ciğerci · Energie Cottbus · 71′Justin Butler · Energie Cottbus · 76′Maurice Neubauer · Hannover 96 · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Energie Cottbus 1.43 xG · Hannover 96 2.79 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Energie Cottbus beat Hannover 96 3–1. Recorded in this match (Energie Cottbus – Hannover 96): shots 12–27, shots on target 4–10, expected goals 1.41–2.72, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

1Energie Cottbus
0Draws
0Hannover 96
Energie CottbusHannover 96 · DFB Pokal10

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4