Arminia Bielefeld beat Energie Cottbus 3–0. Recorded in this match (Arminia Bielefeld – Energie Cottbus): shots 17–10, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 3.57–0.56, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Arminia BielefeldEnergie Cottbus
Shots17 shots10 shotsArminia Bielefeld 17 shots, Energie Cottbus 10 shots
Shots on target5 shots0 shotsArminia Bielefeld 5 shots, Energie Cottbus 0 shots
Offsides4 offsides1 offsideArminia Bielefeld 4 offsides, Energie Cottbus 1 offside
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
Energie Cottbus← attackingattacking →Arminia Bielefeld
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
Arminia Bielefeld: 17 shots, 5 on target, 3.54 xG. Energie Cottbus: 10 shots, 0 on target, 0.58 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Arminia Bielefeld3.54 xGEnergie Cottbus0.58 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arminia Bielefeld 3.54 xG · Energie Cottbus 0.58 xG.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
8.02 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
Arminia Bielefeld / Energie Cottbus
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4