2. Bundesliga · 2026Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time analysis

Arminia Bielefeld

3–0Full-time analysis

Energie Cottbus

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Arminia Bielefeld	Energie Cottbus
Shots	17 shots ▲	10 shots
Shots on target	5 shots ▲	0 shots
Expected goals	3.57 xG ▲	0.56 xG
Possession	40%	60% ●
Corners	7 corners	10 corners ●
Fouls	12 fouls	18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Arminia Bielefeld: 17 shots, 5 on target, 3.54 xG. Energie Cottbus: 10 shots, 0 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arminia Bielefeld 3.54 xG · Energie Cottbus 0.58 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Arminia Bielefeld beat Energie Cottbus 3–0. Recorded in this match (Arminia Bielefeld – Energie Cottbus): shots 17–10, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 3.57–0.56, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable

Season samples1 / 1home / away teams

Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4