2. Bundesliga · 2026Full timeWildparkstadionFull-time analysis
21Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKarlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld
Shots24 shots 11 shots
Shots on target7 shots 5 shots
Expected goals1.53 xG 1.17 xG
Possession56% 44%
Corners6 corners6 corners
Fouls15 fouls12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Maximilian Großer · Arminia Bielefeld · 32′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJannik Rochelt · Arminia Bielefeld · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLilian Egloff · Karlsruher SC · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRafael Pinto Pedrosa · Karlsruher SC · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSanteri Väänänen · Karlsruher SC · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Wanitzek · Karlsruher SC · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarvin Wanitzek · Karlsruher SC · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLilian Egloff · Karlsruher SC · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarius Wörl · Arminia Bielefeld · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Wanitzek · Karlsruher SC · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Großer · Arminia Bielefeld · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMonju Momuluh · Arminia Bielefeld · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoel Grodowski · Arminia Bielefeld · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChristoph Kobald · Karlsruher SC · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStefano Russo · Arminia Bielefeld · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Franke · Karlsruher SC · 32′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarvin Wanitzek · Karlsruher SC · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSebastian Jung · Karlsruher SC · 15′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarvin Wanitzek · Karlsruher SC · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Wanitzek · Karlsruher SC · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · Karlsruher SC · 35′ · 0.07 xG · goalBenjamin Boakye · Arminia Bielefeld · 84′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMoritz Broschinski · Karlsruher SC · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · Karlsruher SC · 78′ · 0.08 xG · goalJoel Grodowski · Arminia Bielefeld · 54′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMoritz Broschinski · Karlsruher SC · 60′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMoritz Broschinski · Karlsruher SC · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPaul Scholl · Karlsruher SC · 55′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Mehlem · Arminia Bielefeld · 80′ · 0.12 xG · goalMarvin Wanitzek · Karlsruher SC · 77′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Jung · Karlsruher SC · 40′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNoel Eichinger · Karlsruher SC · 64′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMonju Momuluh · Arminia Bielefeld · 32′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedJannik Rochelt · Arminia Bielefeld · 37′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Karlsruher SC: 22 shots, 7 on target, 1.44 xG. Arminia Bielefeld: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.22 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Moritz Broschinski · Karlsruher SC · 35′Moritz Broschinski · Karlsruher SC · 78′Marvin Mehlem · Arminia Bielefeld · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Karlsruher SC 1.44 xG · Arminia Bielefeld 1.22 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Karlsruher SC beat Arminia Bielefeld 2–1. Recorded in this match (Karlsruher SC – Arminia Bielefeld): shots 24–11, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.53–1.17, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

3Karlsruher SC
0Draws
1Arminia Bielefeld
Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga41
Arminia BielefeldKarlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga40
Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga42
Arminia BielefeldKarlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga12

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4