2. Bundesliga · 2026Full timeMerck-Stadion am BöllenfalltorFull-time analysis
22Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricDarmstadt 98Holstein Kiel
Shots14 shots 11 shots
Shots on target3 shots6 shots
Expected goals0.74 xG1.4 xG
Possession50%50%
Corners8 corners 4 corners
Fouls15 fouls16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGuillermo Balzi · Holstein Kiel · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYosuke Furukawa · Darmstadt 98 · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChristopher Lannert · Darmstadt 98 · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKai Klefisch · Darmstadt 98 · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHiroki Sekine · Holstein Kiel · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Lannert · Darmstadt 98 · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhil Harres · Holstein Kiel · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKai Klefisch · Darmstadt 98 · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLee Ho-jae · Darmstadt 98 · 76′ · 0.05 xG · goalFynn Lakenmacher · Darmstadt 98 · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPhil Harres · Holstein Kiel · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGuillermo Balzi · Holstein Kiel · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFynn Lakenmacher · Darmstadt 98 · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPhil Harres · Holstein Kiel · 54′ · 0.09 xG · on targetManolo Merx · Darmstadt 98 · 82′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Vukotić · Darmstadt 98 · 86′ · 0.09 xG · goalPhil Harres · Holstein Kiel · 30′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJonas Meffert · Holstein Kiel · 37′ · 0.12 xG · on targetGuillermo Balzi · Holstein Kiel · 8′ · 0.15 xG · goalNicolas Verkooijen · Darmstadt 98 · 82′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedIvan Nekić · Holstein Kiel · 32′ · 0.19 xG · on targetPhil Harres · Holstein Kiel · 42′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Darmstadt 98: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.72 xG. Holstein Kiel: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.40 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lee Ho-jae · Darmstadt 98 · 76′Aleksandar Vukotić · Darmstadt 98 · 86′Guillermo Balzi · Holstein Kiel · 8′Phil Harres · Holstein Kiel · 42′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Darmstadt 98 0.72 xG · Holstein Kiel 1.40 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Darmstadt 98 and Holstein Kiel drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Darmstadt 98 – Holstein Kiel): shots 14–11, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.74–1.4, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

3Darmstadt 98
2Draws
0Holstein Kiel
Darmstadt 98Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga20
Holstein KielDarmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga11
Holstein KielDarmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga03
Darmstadt 98Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga11
Darmstadt 98Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga31

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Darmstadt 981 matches
  • Holstein Kiel1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Darmstadt 98

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

Holstein Kiel

Competition
Bundesliga
Season
2024/25
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
26 May 2025
  • Goals scored1.44 goals/match
  • Goals allowed2.35 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.15 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.81 xG/match
  • Shots10.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed16.3 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.12 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.94 shots/match
  • Possession43.5%
  • Corners3.53 corners/match
  • Corners allowed6.59 corners/match
  • Fouls12 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency6%
  • Scoring frequency79%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4