Holstein Kiel 2–2 FC St. Pauli — Match Stats & Analysis

2. Bundesliga · 2026Fri, 14 Aug 2026, 16:30 UTC

Holstein Kiel

2–2Full-time analysis

FC St. Pauli

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli drew 2–2.

Shots: 1913
Shots on target: 66
Expected goals: 2.092.56
Possession: 64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Holstein Kiel – FC St. Pauli): shots 19–13, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.09–2.56, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

Shots19 shots13 shotsHolstein Kiel 19 shots, FC St. Pauli 13 shots
Shots on target6 shots6 shotsHolstein Kiel 6 shots, FC St. Pauli 6 shots
Expected goals2.09 xG2.56 xGHolstein Kiel 2.09 xG, FC St. Pauli 2.56 xG
Possession64%36%Holstein Kiel 64%, FC St. Pauli 36%
Corners5 corners5 cornersHolstein Kiel 5 corners, FC St. Pauli 5 corners
Fouls14 fouls19 foulsHolstein Kiel 14 fouls, FC St. Pauli 19 fouls
Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsHolstein Kiel 3 cards, FC St. Pauli 3 cards
Passes550 passes297 passesHolstein Kiel 550 passes, FC St. Pauli 297 passes
Pass accuracy85.8%67.7%Holstein Kiel 85.8%, FC St. Pauli 67.7%
Shots inside box15 shots10 shotsHolstein Kiel 15 shots, FC St. Pauli 10 shots
Blocked shots6 blocks3 blocksHolstein Kiel 6 blocks, FC St. Pauli 3 blocks
Goalkeeper saves4 saves4 savesHolstein Kiel 4 saves, FC St. Pauli 4 saves
Offsides1 offside2 offsidesHolstein Kiel 1 offside, FC St. Pauli 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Holstein Kiel: 19 shots, 6 on target, 2.06 xG. FC St. Pauli: 13 shots, 6 on target, 2.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Holstein Kiel 2.06 xG · FC St. Pauli 2.57 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Holstein Kiel

0Draws

5FC St. Pauli

12 Apr 2025Holstein Kiel — FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga1–2

29 Nov 2024FC St. Pauli — Holstein Kiel · Bundesliga3–1

23 Feb 2024Holstein Kiel — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga3–4

17 Sept 2023FC St. Pauli — Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga5–1

19 May 2023Holstein Kiel — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga3–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match

6.23 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.21 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited

Season samples2 / 2home / away teams

Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Aug 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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