2. Bundesliga · 2026

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–4 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga

2–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

1. FC Nürnberg won 2–4.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
69
Expected goals
2.751.48
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Nürnberg beat SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4–2. Recorded in this match (SpVgg Greuther Fürth – 1. FC Nürnberg): shots 14–15, shots on target 6–9, expected goals 2.75–1.48, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsSpVgg Greuther Fürth 14 shots, 1. FC Nürnberg 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots9 shotsSpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 shots, 1. FC Nürnberg 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.75 xG1.48 xGSpVgg Greuther Fürth 2.75 xG, 1. FC Nürnberg 1.48 xG
  • Possession44%56%SpVgg Greuther Fürth 44%, 1. FC Nürnberg 56%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersSpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 corners, 1. FC Nürnberg 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsSpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 fouls, 1. FC Nürnberg 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 card, 1. FC Nürnberg 4 cards
  • Passes339 passes442 passesSpVgg Greuther Fürth 339 passes, 1. FC Nürnberg 442 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.8%86%SpVgg Greuther Fürth 80.8%, 1. FC Nürnberg 86%
  • Shots inside box9 shots10 shotsSpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 shots, 1. FC Nürnberg 10 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksSpVgg Greuther Fürth 4 blocks, 1. FC Nürnberg 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesSpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 saves, 1. FC Nürnberg 4 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideSpVgg Greuther Fürth 4 offsides, 1. FC Nürnberg 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Shinta Appelkamp · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOle Pohlmann · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Itter · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJavier Fernandez · 1. FC Nürnberg · 50′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 9′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJulian Justvan · 1. FC Nürnberg · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Justvan · 1. FC Nürnberg · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPiet Scobel · 1. FC Nürnberg · 71′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLukas Reich · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFinn Ole Becker · 1. FC Nürnberg · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ali Zoma · 1. FC Nürnberg · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSacha Banse · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedShinta Appelkamp · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMohamed Ali Zoma · 1. FC Nürnberg · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulian Justvan · 1. FC Nürnberg · 54′ · 0.04 xG · goalJavier Fernandez · 1. FC Nürnberg · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJannik Dehm · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulian Justvan · 1. FC Nürnberg · 45′ · 0.06 xG · goalGiannis Masouras · 1. FC Nürnberg · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedShinta Appelkamp · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPiet Scobel · 1. FC Nürnberg · 74′ · 0.07 xG · goalRayan Ghrieb · 1. FC Nürnberg · 78′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPiet Scobel · 1. FC Nürnberg · 26′ · 0.21 xG · goalFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 41′ · 0.34 xG · goalPiet Scobel · 1. FC Nürnberg · 32′ · 0.38 xG · on targetFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 44′ · 0.52 xG · on targetFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 22′ · 0.82 xG · goalFelix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 63′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.81 xG. 1. FC Nürnberg: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Felix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 22′Felix Klaus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 41′Piet Scobel · 1. FC Nürnberg · 26′Julian Justvan · 1. FC Nürnberg · 45′Julian Justvan · 1. FC Nürnberg · 54′Piet Scobel · 1. FC Nürnberg · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2.81 xG · 1. FC Nürnberg 1.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2Draws
21. FC Nürnberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Nürnberg — SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga2–2
1. FC Nürnberg — SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga3–0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga0–4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Rest before fixture · Both teams: 5.98 days
  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth / 1. FC Nürnberg

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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