SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2. Bundesliga · 2026This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
This match
Match statistics
| Metric | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1. FC Nürnberg |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14 shots | 15 shots ▲ |
| Shots on target | 6 shots | 9 shots ▲ |
| Expected goals | 2.75 xG ▲ | 1.48 xG |
| Possession | 44% | 56% ● |
| Corners | 5 corners ● | 3 corners |
| Fouls | 9 fouls | 15 fouls |
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.81 xG. 1. FC Nürnberg: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.15 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2.81 xG · 1. FC Nürnberg 1.15 xG.
Full time
What the match recorded
1. FC Nürnberg beat SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4–2. Recorded in this match (SpVgg Greuther Fürth – 1. FC Nürnberg): shots 14–15, shots on target 6–9, expected goals 2.75–1.48, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Unavailable analysis
The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.
Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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