PitchMath
2. Bundesliga · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
4–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHertha BSC1. FC Heidenheim
Shots19 shots ▲11 shots
Shots on target9 shots ▲3 shots
Expected goals2.04 xG ▲1.24 xG
Possession51% ●49%
Corners5 corners ●3 corners
Fouls12 fouls17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Marten Winkler · Hertha BSC · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Heidenheim · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJulian Eitschberger · Hertha BSC · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLinus Gechter · Hertha BSC · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeyovaisio Zeefuik · Hertha BSC · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarten Winkler · Hertha BSC · 26′ · 0.02 xG · goalKevin Sessa · Hertha BSC · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Costly · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSoufian Gouram · Hertha BSC · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Grønning · Hertha BSC · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulian Eitschberger · Hertha BSC · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarten Winkler · Hertha BSC · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarko Zrilic · 1. FC Heidenheim · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOualid Mhamdi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosip Brekalo · Hertha BSC · 7′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBenedikt Gimber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 14′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarcel Costly · 1. FC Heidenheim · 40′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJan Luca Schuler · Hertha BSC · 76′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Heidenheim · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSoufian Gouram · Hertha BSC · 57′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOluwaseun Adewumi · Hertha BSC · 88′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Heidenheim · 49′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKevin Sessa · Hertha BSC · 32′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Grønning · Hertha BSC · 2′ · 0.20 xG · goalJan Luca Schuler · Hertha BSC · 90′ · 0.26 xG · on targetOluwaseun Adewumi · Hertha BSC · 90′ · 0.36 xG · goalJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 49′ · 0.46 xG · goalDeyovaisio Zeefuik · Hertha BSC · 35′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hertha BSC: 19 shots, 9 on target, 2.04 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Sebastian Grønning · Hertha BSC · 2′Marten Winkler · Hertha BSC · 26′Deyovaisio Zeefuik · Hertha BSC · 35′Oluwaseun Adewumi · Hertha BSC · 90′Jan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hertha BSC 2.04 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 0.99 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Hertha BSC beat 1. FC Heidenheim 4–1. Recorded in this match (Hertha BSC – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 19–11, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 2.04–1.24, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Hertha BSC1 matches
  • 1. FC Heidenheim1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Hertha BSC

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

1. FC Heidenheim

Competition
Bundesliga
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
25 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.21 goals/match
  • Goals allowed2.12 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.4 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.88 xG/match
  • Shots11.4 shots/match
  • Shots allowed15.3 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.62 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.68 shots/match
  • Possession42.2%
  • Corners4.53 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.06 corners/match
  • Cards1.54 cards/match
  • Fouls9.82 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency3%
  • Scoring frequency65%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsHertha BSC1. FC Heidenheim
Competition2. Bundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this