2. Bundesliga · 2026Full timeMax-Morlock-StadionFull-time analysis
30Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric1. FC NürnbergSG Dynamo Dresden
Shots16 shots 9 shots
Shots on target7 shots 1 shot
Expected goals2.14 xG 1.23 xG
Possession56% 44%
Corners5 corners5 corners
Fouls6 fouls11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Vincent Vermeij · SG Dynamo Dresden · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJavier Fernandez · 1. FC Nürnberg · 59′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAdam Markhiev · 1. FC Nürnberg · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiannis Masouras · 1. FC Nürnberg · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Fernandez · 1. FC Nürnberg · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJakob Lemmer · SG Dynamo Dresden · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJakob Lemmer · SG Dynamo Dresden · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTim Janisch · 1. FC Nürnberg · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVincent Vermeij · SG Dynamo Dresden · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ali Zoma · 1. FC Nürnberg · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulian Justvan · 1. FC Nürnberg · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ali Zoma · 1. FC Nürnberg · 9′ · 0.07 xG · goalJulian Justvan · 1. FC Nürnberg · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJakob Lemmer · SG Dynamo Dresden · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPiet Scobel · 1. FC Nürnberg · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPiet Scobel · 1. FC Nürnberg · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVincent Vermeij · SG Dynamo Dresden · 33′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ali Zoma · 1. FC Nürnberg · 43′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTobias Hess · 1. FC Nürnberg · 69′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedRobert Wagner · SG Dynamo Dresden · 69′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedJakob Lemmer · SG Dynamo Dresden · 1′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ali Zoma · 1. FC Nürnberg · 45′ · 0.40 xG · goalJakob Lemmer · SG Dynamo Dresden · 10′ · 0.44 xG · on targetMohamed Ali Zoma · 1. FC Nürnberg · 75′ · 0.60 xG · goalMohamed Ali Zoma · 1. FC Nürnberg · 75′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Nürnberg: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.66 xG. SG Dynamo Dresden: 9 shots, 1 on target, 1.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Mohamed Ali Zoma · 1. FC Nürnberg · 9′Mohamed Ali Zoma · 1. FC Nürnberg · 45′Mohamed Ali Zoma · 1. FC Nürnberg · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Nürnberg 2.66 xG · SG Dynamo Dresden 1.22 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Nürnberg beat SG Dynamo Dresden 3–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Nürnberg – SG Dynamo Dresden): shots 16–9, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.14–1.23, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

21. FC Nürnberg
1Draws
1SG Dynamo Dresden
1. FC NürnbergSG Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga02
SG Dynamo Dresden1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga12
1. FC NürnbergSG Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga11
SG Dynamo Dresden1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga01

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4