PitchMath
League One · 2026

Leyton Orient 1–3 Barnsley · League One

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Barnsley won 1–3.

Shots
716
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.731.99
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barnsley beat Leyton Orient 3–1. Recorded in this match (Leyton Orient – Barnsley): shots 7–16, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.73–1.99, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Barnsley show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Barnsley's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsLeyton Orient · Barnsley17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeyton OrientBarnsleyBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match17 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Barnsley have recorded the higher season possession share.

46%PossessionLeyton Orient · Barnsley● 59.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLeyton OrientBarnsleyBaseline
Possession46%59.7%46.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots16 shotsLeyton Orient 7 shots, Barnsley 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsLeyton Orient 3 shots, Barnsley 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG1.99 xGLeyton Orient 0.73 xG, Barnsley 1.99 xG
  • Possession47%53%Leyton Orient 47%, Barnsley 53%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersLeyton Orient 4 corners, Barnsley 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsLeyton Orient 12 fouls, Barnsley 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsLeyton Orient 4 cards, Barnsley 4 cards
  • Passes285 passes325 passesLeyton Orient 285 passes, Barnsley 325 passes
  • Pass accuracy62.1%64.6%Leyton Orient 62.1%, Barnsley 64.6%
  • Shots inside box2 shots11 shotsLeyton Orient 2 shots, Barnsley 11 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks4 blocksLeyton Orient 2 blocks, Barnsley 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesLeyton Orient 4 saves, Barnsley 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesLeyton Orient 0 offsides, Barnsley 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 15′Makenzie KirkGoal · Barnsley
  2. 28′Jonathan BlandYellow card · Barnsley
  3. 29′Isaac HaydenYellow card · Leyton Orient
  4. Half-time
  5. 62′Tyrese NoslinYellow card · Barnsley
  6. 64′Cameron McGeehanPenalty goal · Barnsley
  7. 67′Sam GaleYellow card · Barnsley
  8. 69′Cameron McGeehanYellow card · Barnsley
  9. 73′Tony SpringettYellow card · Leyton Orient
  10. 75′Theo ArchibaldYellow card · Leyton Orient
  11. 76′Reyes ClearyGoal · Barnsley
  12. 78′Fin StevensYellow card · Leyton Orient
  13. 85′Nicholas OyekunleGoal · Leyton Orient
  14. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Barnsley · 1 player changeAmani Richards
  • 46′Leyton Orient · 1 player changeZech Obiero
  • 60′Leyton Orient · 2 player changesSean Clare · Theo Archibald
  • 69′Leyton Orient · 2 player changesNicholas Oyekunle · Demetri Mitchell
  • 72′Barnsley · 1 player changeLeo Farrell
  • 79′Barnsley · 1 player changeCorey O'Keeffe
  • 90′Barnsley · 1 player changeNoah Philip Town

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Leyton Orient
0Draws
3Barnsley
Leyton Orient — Barnsley · League One1–3
Barnsley — Leyton Orient · League One3–2
Leyton Orient — Barnsley · League One4–3
Barnsley — Leyton Orient · League One0–4
Barnsley — Leyton Orient · League One2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Leyton Orient favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Barnsley in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Leyton Orient3 matchesBarnsley3 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31 goal/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.2 xG/match
8.67 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 17 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 5.33 shots/match
46%Possession3/3● 59.7%
4 corners/matchCorners3/3● 8.33 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLeyton OrientBarnsley
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headLeyton Orient — Barnsley
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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