PitchMath
Segunda División · 2026

Burgos Club de Fútbol 3–1 AD Ceuta · Segunda División

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Burgos Club de Fútbol won 3–1.

Shots
712
Shots on target
23
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Burgos Club de Fútbol beat AD Ceuta 3–1. Recorded in this match (Burgos Club de Fútbol – AD Ceuta): shots 7–12, shots on target 2–3, possession 48%–52%, corners 1–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AD Ceuta have a visible away split

weak

AD Ceuta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.33 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

AD Ceuta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AD Ceuta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsBurgos Club de Fútbol · AD Ceuta11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBurgos Club de FútbolAD CeutaBaseline
Shots11 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

17.2 fouls/matchFoulsBurgos Club de Fútbol · AD Ceuta15 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBurgos Club de FútbolAD CeutaBaseline
Fouls17.2 fouls/match15 fouls/match12.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots12 shotsBurgos Club de Fútbol 7 shots, AD Ceuta 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsBurgos Club de Fútbol 2 shots, AD Ceuta 3 shots
  • Possession48%52%Burgos Club de Fútbol 48%, AD Ceuta 52%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersBurgos Club de Fútbol 1 corner, AD Ceuta 7 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls13 foulsBurgos Club de Fútbol 21 fouls, AD Ceuta 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsBurgos Club de Fútbol 3 cards, AD Ceuta 2 cards
  • Passes426 passes461 passesBurgos Club de Fútbol 426 passes, AD Ceuta 461 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.8%85.5%Burgos Club de Fútbol 80.8%, AD Ceuta 85.5%
  • Shots inside box4 shots8 shotsBurgos Club de Fútbol 4 shots, AD Ceuta 8 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksBurgos Club de Fútbol 3 blocks, AD Ceuta 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves0 savesBurgos Club de Fútbol 2 saves, AD Ceuta 0 saves
  • Offsides1 offside4 offsidesBurgos Club de Fútbol 1 offside, AD Ceuta 4 offsides

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Burgos Club de Fútbol4-2-3-1
  1. Ander CanteroG
  2. Ignasi VilarrasaD
  3. Sergio GonzálezD
  4. Grego SierraD
  5. Alberto DadieD
  6. Curro SánchezM
  7. José GrageraM
  8. Unai VencedorM
  9. Álex ForésF
  10. David GonzálezF
  11. Javi LlabrésF
AD Ceuta4-2-3-1
  1. Pedro LópezG
  2. Toni AbadD
  3. Carlos HernándezD
  4. Yann BodigerD
  5. RedruD
  6. Kuki ZalazarM
  7. Joaquín GonzálezM
  8. Alejandro MeléndezM
  9. Alejandro CamachoF
  10. Cedric TeguiaF
  11. Omar SadikF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Burgos Club de Fútbol
1Draws
1AD Ceuta
Burgos Club de Fútbol — AD Ceuta · Segunda División1–1
AD Ceuta — Burgos Club de Fútbol · Segunda División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Burgos Club de Fútbol favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · AD Ceuta in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Burgos Club de Fútbol5 matchesAD Ceuta5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/53 goals/match
11 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 11.8 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/52.8 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession5/547.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.2 corners/match
17.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Segunda División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBurgos Club de FútbolAD Ceuta
CompetitionSegunda División
Head-to-headBurgos Club de Fútbol — AD Ceuta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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