PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

FC Groningen 3–0 PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Groningen won 3–0.

Shots
179
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
1.390.43
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Groningen beat PEC Zwolle 3–0. Recorded in this match (FC Groningen – PEC Zwolle): shots 17–9, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 1.39–0.43, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Groningen have a visible home split

weak

FC Groningen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match14.9 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

PEC Zwolle's recent record differs from the season

weak

PEC Zwolle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.86 goals/match1.92 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Groningen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Groningen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Groningen · PEC Zwolle10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC GroningenPEC ZwolleBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match10.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match20.4 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsFC Groningen 17 shots, PEC Zwolle 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotFC Groningen 7 shots, PEC Zwolle 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.39 xG0.43 xGFC Groningen 1.39 xG, PEC Zwolle 0.43 xG
  • Possession52%48%FC Groningen 52%, PEC Zwolle 48%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersFC Groningen 5 corners, PEC Zwolle 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsFC Groningen 7 fouls, PEC Zwolle 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsFC Groningen 0 cards, PEC Zwolle 2 cards
  • Passes495 passes452 passesFC Groningen 495 passes, PEC Zwolle 452 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.8%82.3%FC Groningen 82.8%, PEC Zwolle 82.3%
  • Shots inside box8 shots4 shotsFC Groningen 8 shots, PEC Zwolle 4 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks6 blocksFC Groningen 8 blocks, PEC Zwolle 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesFC Groningen 1 save, PEC Zwolle 4 saves

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 20′Thom van BergenGoal · FC Groningen
  2. 43′Jorg SchreudersGoal · FC Groningen
  3. Half-time
  4. 68′Tygo LandGoal · FC Groningen
  5. 79′Koen KostonsYellow card · PEC Zwolle
  6. 79′Sherel Constancio FloranusYellow card · PEC Zwolle
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 28′PEC Zwolle · 1 player changeElias Sørensen
  • 61′PEC Zwolle · 2 player changesSydney van Hooijdonk · Gabriel Reiziger
  • 66′FC Groningen · 2 player changesHans Hateboer · Tygo Land
  • 80′PEC Zwolle · 2 player changesJan Bürger · Gilles van der Wal
  • 85′FC Groningen · 2 player changesAlvin Nordin · Nils Eggens
  • 90′FC Groningen · 1 player changeJesper Mosselaar

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

FC Groningen
  1. Etienne VaessenG
  2. Thijmen BlokzijlD
  3. Márk CsingerD
  4. Marco RenteD
  5. Jorg SchreudersD
  6. Tika de JongeM
  7. Pelle ClementM
  8. Thom van BergenM
  9. Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonF
  10. Jacob OndrejkaF
  11. David van der WerffF
PEC Zwolle
  1. Jasper SchendelaarG
  2. Sherel Constancio FloranusD
  3. Olivier AertssenD
  4. Nick ViergeverD
  5. Simon GravesD
  6. Tobias SommerM
  7. Thijs OostingM
  8. Nick FichtingerM
  9. Koen KostonsF
  10. Dylan MbayoF
  11. Ibrahim CissokoF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Groningen
4Draws
1PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle — FC Groningen · Eredivisie1–1
FC Groningen — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie2–2
PEC Zwolle — FC Groningen · Eredivisie2–0
FC Groningen — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie0–0
PEC Zwolle — FC Groningen · Eredivisie1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Groningen favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · PEC Zwolle in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Groningen7 matchesPEC Zwolle7 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.86 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.91 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.6 shots/match
5.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.43 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession7/740%
4.43 corners/match ●Corners7/74.14 corners/match
8.29 fouls/matchFouls7/711.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 18 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC GroningenPEC Zwolle
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headFC Groningen — PEC Zwolle
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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