PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

Royal Antwerp FC 1–2 FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FCV Dender won 1–2.

Shots
159
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.090.97
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

FCV Dender beat Royal Antwerp FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Royal Antwerp FC – FCV Dender): shots 15–9, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.09–0.97, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Royal Antwerp FC have a visible home split

moderate

Royal Antwerp FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsRoyal Antwerp FC 15 shots, FCV Dender 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsRoyal Antwerp FC 6 shots, FCV Dender 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG0.97 xGRoyal Antwerp FC 1.09 xG, FCV Dender 0.97 xG
  • Possession53%47%Royal Antwerp FC 53%, FCV Dender 47%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersRoyal Antwerp FC 5 corners, FCV Dender 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsRoyal Antwerp FC 15 fouls, FCV Dender 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​ · FCV Dender · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNathan Rodes · FCV Dender · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Babadi · Royal Antwerp FC · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFarouck Adekami · Royal Antwerp FC · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabio Ferraro · FCV Dender · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFarouck Adekami · Royal Antwerp FC · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlireza Jahanbakhsh · FCV Dender · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFarouck Adekami · Royal Antwerp FC · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Scott · Royal Antwerp FC · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Scott · Royal Antwerp FC · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFarouck Adekami · Royal Antwerp FC · 56′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFarouck Adekami · Royal Antwerp FC · 30′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 80′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDennis Praet · Royal Antwerp FC · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFarouck Adekami · Royal Antwerp FC · 58′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGyrano Kerk · Royal Antwerp FC · 87′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGerard Vandeplas · Royal Antwerp FC · 81′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRagnar Oratmangoen · FCV Dender · 86′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Scott · Royal Antwerp FC · 24′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBoubakar Kouyaté · Royal Antwerp FC · 76′ · 0.12 xG · goalGerard Vandeplas · Royal Antwerp FC · 70′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 50′ · 0.20 xG · goalRagnar Oratmangoen · FCV Dender · 88′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Royal Antwerp FC: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.10 xG. FCV Dender: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Boubakar Kouyaté · Royal Antwerp FC · 76′David Toshevski · FCV Dender · 50′Ragnar Oratmangoen · FCV Dender · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Royal Antwerp FC 1.10 xG · FCV Dender 1.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Royal Antwerp FC
1Draws
0FCV Dender
FCV Dender — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League1–3
Royal Antwerp FC — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royal Antwerp FC favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royal Antwerp FC16 matchesFCV Dender15 matches
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/150.67 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/151.6 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.03 xG/match
11.6 shots/match ▲Shots16/1510.3 shots/match
4.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/153.6 shots/match
50.4% ●Possession16/1546.7%
4.13 corners/match ●Corners16/153.27 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1510.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyal Antwerp FCFCV Dender
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRoyal Antwerp FC — FCV Dender
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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