PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Easi Arena

RAAL La Louvière 0–1 RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RSC Anderlecht won 0–1.

Shots
1020
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
0.661.92
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Anderlecht beat RAAL La Louvière 1–0. Recorded in this match (RAAL La Louvière – Anderlecht): shots 10–20, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 0.66–1.92, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Anderlecht have recorded the higher season possession share.

33.4%PossessionRAAL La Louvière · Anderlecht● 53.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRAAL La LouvièreAnderlechtBaseline
Possession33.4%53.7%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

RAAL La Louvière show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RAAL La Louvière's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.31 shots/match ▲ShotsRAAL La Louvière · Anderlecht15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRAAL La LouvièreAnderlechtBaseline
Shots9.31 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

RAAL La Louvière's recent record differs from the season

weak

RAAL La Louvière's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.69 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots20 shotsRAAL La Louvière 10 shots, RSC Anderlecht 20 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsRAAL La Louvière 4 shots, RSC Anderlecht 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG1.92 xGRAAL La Louvière 0.66 xG, RSC Anderlecht 1.92 xG
  • Possession37%63%RAAL La Louvière 37%, RSC Anderlecht 63%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersRAAL La Louvière 5 corners, RSC Anderlecht 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsRAAL La Louvière 14 fouls, RSC Anderlecht 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsRAAL La Louvière 2 cards, RSC Anderlecht 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jordi Liongola · RAAL La Louvière · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJordi Liongola · RAAL La Louvière · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 46′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNilson Angulo · Anderlecht · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIlay Camara · Anderlecht · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLudwig Augustinsson · Anderlecht · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Beka Beka · RAAL La Louvière · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKillian Sardella · Anderlecht · 68′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNilson Angulo · Anderlecht · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Beka Beka · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKillian Sardella · Anderlecht · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Beka Beka · RAAL La Louvière · 73′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNilson Angulo · Anderlecht · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNilson Angulo · Anderlecht · 56′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMaxime Pau · RAAL La Louvière · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJordi Liongola · RAAL La Louvière · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoël Ito · RAAL La Louvière · 26′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 18′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Kanate · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 41′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Kanate · Anderlecht · 88′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 37′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 69′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 16′ · 0.24 xG · on targetIbrahim Kanate · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RAAL La Louvière: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.67 xG. Anderlecht: 20 shots, 7 on target, 1.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ibrahim Kanate · Anderlecht · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RAAL La Louvière 0.67 xG · Anderlecht 1.91 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RAAL La Louvière favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RSC Anderlecht in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RAAL La Louvière16 matchesRSC Anderlecht16 matches
0.69 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.5 goals/match
0.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 0.81 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.58 xG/match
9.31 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 15.5 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 5.06 shots/match
33.4%Possession16/16● 53.7%
4.06 corners/matchCorners16/16● 6.44 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards15/152.87 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1614 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRAAL La LouvièreRSC Anderlecht
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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