PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Cegeka Arena

KRC Genk 0–1 KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KV Mechelen won 0–1.

Shots
2011
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
2.291.61
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

KV Mechelen beat Genk 1–0. Recorded in this match (Genk – KV Mechelen): shots 20–11, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.29–1.61, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genk show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Genk's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsGenk · KV Mechelen10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGenkKV MechelenBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match16.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Genk's recent record differs from the season

weak

Genk's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.31 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Genk have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.6% ●PossessionGenk · KV Mechelen47.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGenkKV MechelenBaseline
Possession63.6%47.6%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots11 shotsKRC Genk 20 shots, KV Mechelen 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsKRC Genk 6 shots, KV Mechelen 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.29 xG1.61 xGKRC Genk 2.29 xG, KV Mechelen 1.61 xG
  • Possession66%34%KRC Genk 66%, KV Mechelen 34%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersKRC Genk 6 corners, KV Mechelen 3 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls13 foulsKRC Genk 5 fouls, KV Mechelen 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards5 cardsKRC Genk 0 cards, KV Mechelen 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Josue Ndenge Kongolo · Genk · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYaimar Medina · Genk · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJarne Steuckers · Genk · 2′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJarne Steuckers · Genk · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 62′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYira Collins Sor · Genk · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJarne Steuckers · Genk · 82′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 44′ · 0.09 xG · on targetHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 30′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPatrik Hrošovský · Genk · 39′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 19′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJosé Marsà · KV Mechelen · 13′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Hrošovský · Genk · 32′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJarne Steuckers · Genk · 54′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 9′ · 0.18 xG · on targetIan Struyf · KV Mechelen · 10′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedYira Collins Sor · Genk · 42′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 86′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBenito Raman · KV Mechelen · 9′ · 0.22 xG · on targetRobin Mirisola · Genk · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedJosé Marsà · KV Mechelen · 35′ · 0.23 xG · goalLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 84′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedYaimar Medina · Genk · 63′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 22′ · 0.31 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genk: 20 shots, 6 on target, 2.29 xG. KV Mechelen: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′José Marsà · KV Mechelen · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genk 2.29 xG · KV Mechelen 1.64 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3KRC Genk
2Draws
0KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–2
KRC Genk — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–1
KV Mechelen — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–1
KRC Genk — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League4–0
KV Mechelen — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KRC Genk favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · KV Mechelen in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KRC Genk16 matchesKV Mechelen16 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.31 xG/match
16.6 shots/match ▲Shots16/1610.5 shots/match
5.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/164.25 shots/match
63.6% ●Possession16/1647.6%
5.81 corners/match ●Corners16/164.69 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards15/152.47 cards/match
9.81 fouls/matchFouls16/169.88 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKRC GenkKV Mechelen
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKRC Genk — KV Mechelen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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