PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

FCV Dender 2–2 KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FCV Dender and KVC Westerlo drew 2–2.

Shots
819
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.563.13
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

FCV Dender and KVC Westerlo drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (FCV Dender – KVC Westerlo): shots 8–19, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.56–3.13, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KVC Westerlo show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

KVC Westerlo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsFCV Dender · KVC Westerlo16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFCV DenderKVC WesterloBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots19 shotsFCV Dender 8 shots, KVC Westerlo 19 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsFCV Dender 4 shots, KVC Westerlo 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.56 xG3.13 xGFCV Dender 0.56 xG, KVC Westerlo 3.13 xG
  • Possession45%55%FCV Dender 45%, KVC Westerlo 55%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersFCV Dender 2 corners, KVC Westerlo 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsFCV Dender 16 fouls, KVC Westerlo 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 77′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMalcolm Viltard · FCV Dender · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Reynolds · KVC Westerlo · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Cordero · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabio Ferraro · FCV Dender · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 24′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucas Mbamba · KVC Westerlo · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFabio Ferraro · FCV Dender · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDesmond Acquah · FCV Dender · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArthur Piedfort · KVC Westerlo · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 40′ · 0.10 xG · goalNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 23′ · 0.11 xG · on targetNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 88′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 31′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 52′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 64′ · 0.17 xG · goalNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 69′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 56′ · 0.21 xG · goalIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 23′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 12′ · 0.82 xG · on targetAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 50′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FCV Dender: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.55 xG. KVC Westerlo: 19 shots, 5 on target, 3.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′David Toshevski · FCV Dender · 40′Bruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 56′Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 50′Nacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FCV Dender 0.55 xG · KVC Westerlo 3.16 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FCV Dender
1Draws
2KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–1
KVC Westerlo — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League4–2
FCV Dender — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League1–0
FCV Dender — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League1–0
KVC Westerlo — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FCV Dender favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · KVC Westerlo in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FCV Dender16 matchesKVC Westerlo18 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored16/18▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed16/181.61 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.66 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots16/18▲ 16.6 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target16/18▲ 4.72 shots/match
46.6%Possession16/18● 51.2%
3.19 corners/matchCorners16/18● 5.67 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1812.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFCV DenderKVC Westerlo
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headFCV Dender — KVC Westerlo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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