PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Elindus Arena

SV Zulte Waregem 1–1 Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Zulte Waregem and Cercle Brugge drew 1–1.

Shots
713
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.550.81
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zulte Waregem and Cercle Brugge drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Zulte Waregem – Cercle Brugge): shots 7–13, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.55–0.81, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cercle Brugge show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cercle Brugge's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsZulte Waregem · Cercle Brugge13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZulte WaregemCercle BruggeBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots13 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 7 shots, Cercle Brugge 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 2 shots, Cercle Brugge 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.55 xG0.81 xGSV Zulte Waregem 1.55 xG, Cercle Brugge 0.81 xG
  • Possession46%54%SV Zulte Waregem 46%, Cercle Brugge 54%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersSV Zulte Waregem 6 corners, Cercle Brugge 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsSV Zulte Waregem 13 fouls, Cercle Brugge 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsSV Zulte Waregem 1 card, Cercle Brugge 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Steve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLawrence Agyekum · Cercle Brugge · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEdgaras Utkus · Cercle Brugge · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEdgaras Utkus · Cercle Brugge · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristiaan Ravych · Cercle Brugge · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnton Tanghe · Zulte Waregem · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 60′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 31′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 28′ · 0.12 xG · on targetEdgaras Utkus · Cercle Brugge · 46′ · 0.18 xG · goalMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 38′ · 0.19 xG · on targetJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 27′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedAnton Tanghe · Zulte Waregem · 26′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Zulte Waregem: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.54 xG. Cercle Brugge: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Anton Tanghe · Zulte Waregem · 26′Edgaras Utkus · Cercle Brugge · 46′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Zulte Waregem 1.54 xG · Cercle Brugge 0.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SV Zulte Waregem
2Draws
3Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League1–1
SV Zulte Waregem — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–3
Cercle Brugge — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League1–1
Cercle Brugge — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League3–1
SV Zulte Waregem — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Zulte Waregem favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Cercle Brugge in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Zulte Waregem17 matchesCercle Brugge17 matches
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.12 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.41 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.49 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 13.6 shots/match
4.12 shots/matchShots on target17/174.06 shots/match
45.2%Possession17/17● 50.4%
4.29 corners/matchCorners17/17● 4.41 corners/match
1.63 cards/matchCards16/161.94 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Zulte WaregemCercle Brugge
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headSV Zulte Waregem — Cercle Brugge
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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