Belgian Pro League · 2025Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

FCV Dender

WDLLL

1–4Full-time recap

Sint-Truidense VV

WWLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FCV Dender	Sint-Truidense VV
Shots	11 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.57 xG/match	0.83 xG/match▲
Possession	40%	60%●
Corners	4 corners/match	9 corners/match●
Fouls	14 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

FCV Dender: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.57 xG. Sint-Truidense VV: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FCV Dender 0.57 xG · Sint-Truidense VV 0.86 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sint-Truidense VV's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: FCV Dender's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sint-Truidense VV's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sint-Truidense VV's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.79 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3 goals/match	1.79 goals/match	1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FCV Dender show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FCV Dender's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsFCV Dender · Sint-Truidense VV14.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	FCV Dender	Sint-Truidense VV	Baseline
Shots	10.8 shots/match	14.5 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	14.7 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1FCV Dender

1Draws

1Sint-Truidense VV

8 Aug 2025Sint-Truidense VV — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League2–0

8 Feb 2025FCV Dender — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League2–1

17 Aug 2024Sint-Truidense VV — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

FCV Dender favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Sint-Truidense VV in 11 · 2 too close

0.81 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/28▲1.79 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/28▲1.07 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/26▲1.77 xG/match

1.49 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/26▲1.13 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/28▲14.5 shots/match

14.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/28▲11.8 shots/match

3.85 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/28▲4.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/28▲3.93 shots/match

47.1%Possessionseason · 26/28●53.8%

3.54 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/28●5.54 corners/match

5.35 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/28▲4.46 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/261.88 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2811.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/28▲29%

62%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/28▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FCV Dender26.5

Sint-Truidense VV73.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FCV Dender16.7

Sint-Truidense VV73.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FCV Dender25.5

Sint-Truidense VV81.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FCV Dender20.6

Sint-Truidense VV67.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender50

Sint-Truidense VV48.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender5.9

Sint-Truidense VV79.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FCV Dender25

Sint-Truidense VV67.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

FCV Dender26 matchesSint-Truidense VV28 matches

0.81 goals/matchGoals scored26/28▲1.79 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed26/28▲1.07 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲1.77 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots26/28▲14.5 shots/match

3.85 shots/matchShots on target26/28▲4.5 shots/match

47.1%Possession26/28●53.8%

3.54 corners/matchCorners26/28●5.54 corners/match

—Cards0/261.88 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls26/2811.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

FCV Dender13 matchesSint-Truidense VV14 matches

0.69 goals/matchGoals scored13/14▲2 goals/match

1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed13/14▲1.07 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.83 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots13/14▲13.7 shots/match

3.38 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲4.29 shots/match

49.4%Possession13/14●54.4%

3.46 corners/matchCorners13/14●5.93 corners/match

—Cards0/131.62 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1411.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.86 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples26 / 28home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4