PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Stade Joseph Marien

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 2–1.

Shots
214
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.070.69
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union St. Gilloise beat Antwerp 2–1. Recorded in this match (Union St. Gilloise – Antwerp): shots 21–4, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.07–0.69, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Union St. Gilloise's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Union St. Gilloise's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Antwerp show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Antwerp's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsUnion St. Gilloise · Antwerp11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUnion St. GilloiseAntwerpBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against8.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsUnion St. Gilloise · Antwerp12.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricUnion St. GilloiseAntwerpBaseline
Fouls12.9 fouls/match12.7 fouls/match11.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots4 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 21 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 6 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.07 xG0.69 xGRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.07 xG, Royal Antwerp FC 0.69 xG
  • Possession62%38%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 62%, Royal Antwerp FC 38%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 10 corners, Royal Antwerp FC 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 13 fouls, Royal Antwerp FC 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 2 cards, Royal Antwerp FC 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Guilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Fuseini · Union St. Gilloise · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarc Giger · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDennis Praet · Antwerp · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Scott · Antwerp · 60′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Union St. Gilloise · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVincent Janssen · Antwerp · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKevin Mac Allister · Union St. Gilloise · 70′ · 0.08 xG · on targetZeno Van Den Bosch · Union St. Gilloise · 44′ · 0.10 xG · goalPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 28′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKevin Mac Allister · Union St. Gilloise · 28′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedChristian Burgess · Union St. Gilloise · 2′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMohammed Fuseini · Union St. Gilloise · 27′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.18 xG · goalLouis Patris · Union St. Gilloise · 85′ · 0.19 xG · on targetPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 64′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Fuseini · Union St. Gilloise · 83′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 65′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Valencia · Antwerp · 51′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Union St. Gilloise: 22 shots, 7 on target, 2.18 xG. Antwerp: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Zeno Van Den Bosch · Union St. Gilloise · 44′Ross Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 90′Anthony Valencia · Antwerp · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Union St. Gilloise 2.18 xG · Antwerp 0.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
1Draws
1Royal Antwerp FC
Royal Antwerp FC — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–1
Royal Antwerp FC — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–4
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League5–1
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League2–1
Royal Antwerp FC — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Royal Antwerp FC in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise27 matchesRoyal Antwerp FC28 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/281.07 goals/match
0.56 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/281.18 goals/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.22 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots27/2811.3 shots/match
5.59 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/284.11 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession27/2849%
6.04 corners/match ●Corners27/284.11 corners/match
2.46 cards/matchCards26/261.96 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls27/2812.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseRoyal Antwerp FC
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise — Royal Antwerp FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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