PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Daio Wasabi Stayen

Sint-Truidense VV 3–2 SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sint-Truidense VV won 3–2.

Shots
1712
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
2.151.14
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

St. Truiden beat Zulte Waregem 3–2. Recorded in this match (St. Truiden – Zulte Waregem): shots 17–12, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 2.15–1.14, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

St. Truiden's recent record differs from the season

weak

St. Truiden's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.62 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.62 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots12 shotsSint-Truidense VV 17 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsSint-Truidense VV 7 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.15 xG1.14 xGSint-Truidense VV 2.15 xG, SV Zulte Waregem 1.14 xG
  • Possession59%41%Sint-Truidense VV 59%, SV Zulte Waregem 41%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersSint-Truidense VV 7 corners, SV Zulte Waregem 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsSint-Truidense VV 11 fouls, SV Zulte Waregem 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsSint-Truidense VV 3 cards, SV Zulte Waregem 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ryotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmran Soglo · Zulte Waregem · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmran Soglo · Zulte Waregem · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 1′ · 0.05 xG · on targetThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Mbe Soh · St. Truiden · 85′ · 0.05 xG · goalMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEnrique Lofolomo · Zulte Waregem · 39′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diouf · St. Truiden · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 1′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 78′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 68′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 83′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 6′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Sissako · St. Truiden · 55′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 18′ · 0.26 xG · goalSimen Juklerød · St. Truiden · 45′ · 0.27 xG · goalJoseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 25′ · 0.36 xG · goalKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

St. Truiden: 17 shots, 7 on target, 2.20 xG. Zulte Waregem: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Simen Juklerød · St. Truiden · 45′Keisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 45′Loïc Mbe Soh · St. Truiden · 85′Joseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 18′Joseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: St. Truiden 2.20 xG · Zulte Waregem 1.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Sint-Truidense VV
0Draws
1SV Zulte Waregem
SV Zulte Waregem — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League0–2
Sint-Truidense VV — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–0
SV Zulte Waregem — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League0–3
SV Zulte Waregem — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League0–2
Sint-Truidense VV — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sint-Truidense VV favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · SV Zulte Waregem in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sint-Truidense VV26 matchesSV Zulte Waregem27 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/271.37 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/271.48 goals/match
1.81 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.14 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots26/2711.7 shots/match
4.54 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/274.04 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession26/2747.1%
5.27 corners/match ●Corners26/274.33 corners/match
1.96 cards/matchCards25/251.72 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2711.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 22:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSint-Truidense VVSV Zulte Waregem
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headSint-Truidense VV — SV Zulte Waregem
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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