Belgian Pro League · 2025Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

FCV Dender

LLDDL

1–3Full-time recap

KAA Gent

WLLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FCV Dender	KAA Gent
Shots	15 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.71 xG/match	2.21 xG/match▲
Possession	54%●	46%
Corners	6 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

FCV Dender: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.72 xG. KAA Gent: 12 shots, 8 on target, 2.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FCV Dender 0.72 xG · KAA Gent 2.27 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: KAA Gent's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

KAA Gent's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KAA Gent's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.72 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.72 goals/match	1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1FCV Dender

1Draws

1KAA Gent

19 Sept 2025KAA Gent — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League3–0

12 Jan 2025FCV Dender — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League0–0

4 Aug 2024KAA Gent — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

FCV Dender favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · KAA Gent in 8 · 5 too close

0.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/32▲1.72 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/32▲1.38 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 30/31▲1.5 xG/match

1.56 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 30/31▲1.47 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/32▲13.3 shots/match

14.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/3214.2 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/32▲4.59 shots/match

4.77 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/324.69 shots/match

47.5%Possessionseason · 30/32●51%

3.73 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/32●4.56 corners/match

5.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/325.78 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/281.71 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3210.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/32▲25%

60%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/32▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FCV Dender32.4

KAA Gent67.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FCV Dender18.6

KAA Gent68.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FCV Dender17.7

KAA Gent36.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FCV Dender26.5

KAA Gent44.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender50

KAA Gent18.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender5.9

KAA Gent32.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FCV Dender26.5

KAA Gent40.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

FCV Dender30 matchesKAA Gent32 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored30/32▲1.72 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed30/32▲1.38 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals30/31▲1.5 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShots30/32▲13.3 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target30/32▲4.59 shots/match

47.5%Possession30/32●51%

3.73 corners/matchCorners30/32●4.56 corners/match

—Cards0/281.71 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFouls30/3210.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

FCV Dender15 matchesKAA Gent16 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored15/16▲1.56 goals/match

1.87 goals/matchGoals allowed15/16▲1.69 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals15/16▲1.55 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots15/1611.6 shots/match

3.47 shots/matchShots on target15/16▲5.13 shots/match

49.3%●Possession15/1647.8%

3.73 corners/matchCorners15/16●4.63 corners/match

—Cards0/141.79 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFouls15/169.94 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.01 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.91 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples30 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4