PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025

AVS - Futebol SAD 1–3 FC Alverca · Primeira Liga

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Alverca won 1–3.

Shots
512
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.421.26
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Alverca beat AVS - Futebol SAD 3–1. Recorded in this match (AVS - Futebol SAD – FC Alverca): shots 5–12, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.42–1.26, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AVS - Futebol SAD's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AVS - Futebol SAD's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Alverca have a visible away split

moderate

FC Alverca's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.56 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match9.56 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots12 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 5 shots, FC Alverca 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 2 shots, FC Alverca 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.42 xG1.26 xGAVS - Futebol SAD 0.42 xG, FC Alverca 1.26 xG
  • Possession49%51%AVS - Futebol SAD 49%, FC Alverca 51%
  • Corners0 corners5 cornersAVS - Futebol SAD 0 corners, FC Alverca 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls6 foulsAVS - Futebol SAD 16 fouls, FC Alverca 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavy Gui · FC Alverca · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Amorim · FC Alverca · 45′ · 0.02 xG · goalBruno Lourenço · AVS - Futebol SAD · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKaiky Naves · FC Alverca · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFigueiredo · FC Alverca · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLincoln · FC Alverca · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLincoln · FC Alverca · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 9′ · 0.07 xG · goalDavy Gui · FC Alverca · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRafael Barbosa · AVS - Futebol SAD · 5′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFigueiredo · FC Alverca · 51′ · 0.15 xG · goalFigueiredo · FC Alverca · 27′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGonçalo Esteves · FC Alverca · 90′ · 0.17 xG · goalKaiky Naves · FC Alverca · 21′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedSandro Lima · FC Alverca · 75′ · 0.27 xG · on targetBruno Lourenço · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AVS - Futebol SAD: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.48 xG. FC Alverca: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Pedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 9′Alexsandro Amorim · FC Alverca · 45′Figueiredo · FC Alverca · 51′Gonçalo Esteves · FC Alverca · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AVS - Futebol SAD 0.48 xG · FC Alverca 1.22 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AVS - Futebol SAD favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Alverca in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AVS - Futebol SAD8 matchesFC Alverca9 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/9▲ 1.56 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/9▲ 1.44 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.28 xG/match
9.75 shots/matchShots8/99.56 shots/match
2.38 shots/matchShots on target8/9▲ 4.11 shots/match
43.5%Possession8/9● 44.9%
3.38 corners/match ●Corners8/92.89 corners/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls8/913 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAVS - Futebol SADFC Alverca
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required