PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente 2–0 CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Gil Vicente won 2–0.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.360.98
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

GIL Vicente beat Estrela 2–0. Recorded in this match (GIL Vicente – Estrela): shots 15–15, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.36–0.98, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

GIL Vicente's recent record differs from the season

moderate

GIL Vicente's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Estrela have a visible away split

weak

Estrela's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Estrela.

7.8 days ▲Rest daysGIL Vicente · Estrela6.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGIL VicenteEstrelaBaseline
Rest days7.8 days6.9 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shotsGil Vicente 15 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsGil Vicente 7 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.36 xG0.98 xGGil Vicente 2.36 xG, CF Estrela Amadora 0.98 xG
  • Possession43%57%Gil Vicente 43%, CF Estrela Amadora 57%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersGil Vicente 5 corners, CF Estrela Amadora 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsGil Vicente 12 fouls, CF Estrela Amadora 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsGil Vicente 2 cards, CF Estrela Amadora 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sidny Lopes Cabral · Estrela · 80′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSidny Lopes Cabral · Estrela · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoelson Fernandes · GIL Vicente · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSidny Lopes Cabral · Estrela · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMurilo · GIL Vicente · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZé Carlos · GIL Vicente · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSidny Lopes Cabral · Estrela · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuís Esteves · GIL Vicente · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGustavo Varela · GIL Vicente · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSidny Lopes Cabral · Estrela · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlan Godoy · Estrela · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKikas · Estrela · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJorge Meireles · Estrela · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSanti García · GIL Vicente · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSanti García · GIL Vicente · 11′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoelson Fernandes · GIL Vicente · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSanti García · GIL Vicente · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJorge Meireles · Estrela · 64′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBernardo Schappo · Estrela · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJorge Meireles · Estrela · 75′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKikas · Estrela · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuís Esteves · GIL Vicente · 85′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Antonetti · Estrela · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMurilo · GIL Vicente · 18′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSidny Lopes Cabral · Estrela · 61′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPablo Felipe · GIL Vicente · 32′ · 0.20 xG · goalAlan Godoy · Estrela · 74′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Varela · GIL Vicente · 90′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedPablo Felipe · GIL Vicente · 41′ · 0.82 xG · goalGustavo Varela · GIL Vicente · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

GIL Vicente: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.86 xG. Estrela: 15 shots, 5 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Pablo Felipe · GIL Vicente · 32′Pablo Felipe · GIL Vicente · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: GIL Vicente 2.86 xG · Estrela 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Gil Vicente
2Draws
1CF Estrela Amadora
CF Estrela Amadora — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga1–1
Gil Vicente — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga3–0
CF Estrela Amadora — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga1–0
Gil Vicente — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gil Vicente favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · CF Estrela Amadora in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gil Vicente8 matchesCF Estrela Amadora9 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/91 goal/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/90.89 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.33 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots8/911.2 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/93.78 shots/match
45.9%Possession8/9● 50.1%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners8/94.33 corners/match
2.88 cards/matchCards8/82.88 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls8/913.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGil VicenteCF Estrela Amadora
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headGil Vicente — CF Estrela Amadora
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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