PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025

CF Estrela Amadora 3–0 AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CF Estrela Amadora won 3–0.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.71.04
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

CF Estrela Amadora beat AVS - Futebol SAD 3–0. Recorded in this match (CF Estrela Amadora – AVS - Futebol SAD): shots 11–11, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.7–1.04, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CF Estrela Amadora have a visible home split

moderate

CF Estrela Amadora's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match10.8 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

CF Estrela Amadora's recent record differs from the season

weak

CF Estrela Amadora's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 11 shots, AVS - Futebol SAD 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 6 shots, AVS - Futebol SAD 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.7 xG1.04 xGCF Estrela Amadora 2.7 xG, AVS - Futebol SAD 1.04 xG
  • Possession55%45%CF Estrela Amadora 55%, AVS - Futebol SAD 45%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersCF Estrela Amadora 6 corners, AVS - Futebol SAD 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls20 foulsCF Estrela Amadora 11 fouls, AVS - Futebol SAD 20 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rafael Barbosa · AVS - Futebol SAD · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKikas · CF Estrela Amadora · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDiego Duarte · AVS - Futebol SAD · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKiki · AVS - Futebol SAD · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOumar Ngom · CF Estrela Amadora · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSidny Lopes Cabral · CF Estrela Amadora · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAbraham Marcus · CF Estrela Amadora · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSidny Lopes Cabral · CF Estrela Amadora · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKiki · AVS - Futebol SAD · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTomané · AVS - Futebol SAD · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Montóia · CF Estrela Amadora · 56′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSidny Lopes Cabral · CF Estrela Amadora · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafael Barbosa · AVS - Futebol SAD · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSidi Bane · AVS - Futebol SAD · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTomané · AVS - Futebol SAD · 29′ · 0.09 xG · on targetKikas · CF Estrela Amadora · 70′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedSidi Bane · AVS - Futebol SAD · 52′ · 0.35 xG · on targetKikas · CF Estrela Amadora · 21′ · 0.47 xG · goalKikas · CF Estrela Amadora · 45′ · 0.61 xG · goalIanis Stoica · CF Estrela Amadora · 24′ · 0.95 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

CF Estrela Amadora: 11 shots, 6 on target, 2.59 xG. AVS - Futebol SAD: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Kikas · CF Estrela Amadora · 21′Ianis Stoica · CF Estrela Amadora · 24′Kikas · CF Estrela Amadora · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: CF Estrela Amadora 2.59 xG · AVS - Futebol SAD 0.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CF Estrela Amadora
1Draws
1AVS - Futebol SAD
CF Estrela Amadora — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga0–1
AVS - Futebol SAD — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CF Estrela Amadora favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · AVS - Futebol SAD in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CF Estrela Amadora8 matchesAVS - Futebol SAD7 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/70.57 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/72.43 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.9 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots8/710.4 shots/match
3.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/72.43 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession8/742.7%
4 corners/match ●Corners8/73.86 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls8/716.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCF Estrela AmadoraAVS - Futebol SAD
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headCF Estrela Amadora — AVS - Futebol SAD
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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