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Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril Praia 0–1 Sporting · Primeira Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 0–1.

Shots
79
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.211.21
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting CP beat Estoril 1–0. Recorded in this match (Estoril – Sporting CP): shots 7–9, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.21–1.21, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sporting CP show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sporting CP's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsEstoril · Sporting CP19.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEstorilSporting CPBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match19.4 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match7.29 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sporting CP's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sporting CP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match2.71 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sporting CP have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.8%PossessionEstoril · Sporting CP● 62.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEstorilSporting CPBaseline
Possession50.8%62.3%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots9 shotsEstoril Praia 7 shots, Sporting 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsEstoril Praia 2 shots, Sporting 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.21 xG1.21 xGEstoril Praia 0.21 xG, Sporting 1.21 xG
  • Possession38%62%Estoril Praia 38%, Sporting 62%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersEstoril Praia 3 corners, Sporting 9 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsEstoril Praia 13 fouls, Sporting 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsEstoril Praia 4 cards, Sporting 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fabrício Garcia · Estoril · 88′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJordan Holsgrove · Estoril · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJordan Holsgrove · Estoril · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHidemasa Morita · Sporting CP · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeovany Quenda · Sporting CP · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFerro · Estoril · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlisson Santos · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Amaral · Estoril · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Carvalho · Estoril · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHidemasa Morita · Sporting CP · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Marqués · Estoril · 41′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 12′ · 0.11 xG · goalFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.24 xG · on targetPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 32′ · 0.60 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Estoril: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.23 xG. Sporting CP: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 12′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Estoril 0.23 xG · Sporting CP 1.12 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Estoril Praia
0Draws
5Sporting
Sporting — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga3–1
Estoril Praia — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–3
Estoril Praia — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–1
Sporting — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga5–1
Sporting — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estoril Praia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estoril Praia8 matchesSporting7 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/7▲ 2.71 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/7▲ 0.57 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 2.51 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots8/7▲ 19.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target8/7▲ 7.43 shots/match
50.8%Possession8/7● 62.3%
2.5 corners/matchCorners8/7● 7.43 corners/match
3.57 cards/matchCards7/71.86 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls8/711.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEstoril PraiaSporting
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headEstoril Praia — Sporting
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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