Match at a glance Casa Pia and Estoril Praia drew 2–2.
Shots 11 – 10
Shots on target 5 – 3
Expected goals 1.11 – 1.28
Possession 51% – 49% Story Stats Shot map xG H2H Comparison Evidence More football Full time
What the match recorded Casa Pia and Estoril drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Casa Pia – Estoril): shots 11–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.11–1.28, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics Casa Pia Estoril Praia
Shots 11 shots 10 shots Casa Pia 11 shots, Estoril Praia 10 shots Shots on target 5 shots 3 shots Casa Pia 5 shots, Estoril Praia 3 shots Expected goals 1.11 xG 1.28 xG Casa Pia 1.11 xG, Estoril Praia 1.28 xG Possession 51% 49% Casa Pia 51%, Estoril Praia 49% Corners 6 corners 7 corners Casa Pia 6 corners, Estoril Praia 7 corners Fouls 14 fouls 12 fouls Casa Pia 14 fouls, Estoril Praia 12 fouls Yellow cards 3 cards 3 cards Casa Pia 3 cards, Estoril Praia 3 cards Every shot
Shot map Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
Share Estoril ← attacking attacking → Casa Pia
David Sousa · Casa Pia · 35′ · 0.02 xG · on target João Carvalho · Estoril · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blocked Patrick de Paula · Estoril · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blocked Sebastián Pérez · Casa Pia · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blocked João Carvalho · Estoril · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blocked Jérémy Livolant · Casa Pia · 45′ · 0.05 xG · goal Fabrício Garcia · Estoril · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blocked André Lacximicant · Estoril · 86′ · 0.05 xG · on target Kaique Rocha · Casa Pia · 28′ · 0.06 xG · goal Nodar Lominadze · Estoril · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blocked Jérémy Livolant · Casa Pia · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blocked Dailon Rocha Livramento · Casa Pia · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blocked Dailon Rocha Livramento · Casa Pia · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blocked Nodar Lominadze · Estoril · 38′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blocked Kaique Rocha · Casa Pia · 68′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blocked Gaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 43′ · 0.12 xG · on target Jérémy Livolant · Casa Pia · 67′ · 0.12 xG · on target Felix Bacher · Estoril · 71′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blocked Dailon Rocha Livramento · Casa Pia · 62′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blocked João Carvalho · Estoril · 84′ · 0.23 xG · goal Nodar Lominadze · Estoril · 14′ · 0.37 xG · goal size = xG Casa Pia: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.93 xG. Estoril: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.10 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Share Casa Pia 0.93 xG Estoril 1.10 xG
0 0.75 1.5 0′ HT 90′ Kaique Rocha · Casa Pia · 28′ Jérémy Livolant · Casa Pia · 45′ Nodar Lominadze · Estoril · 14′ João Carvalho · Estoril · 84′ The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Casa Pia 0.93 xG · Estoril 1.10 xG.
History
Head-to-head Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
1 Casa Pia
2 Draws
2 Estoril Praia
29 Apr 2025 Casa Pia — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga 1–3
15 Dec 2024 Estoril Praia — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga 0–2
8 Apr 2024 Casa Pia — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga 0–0
10 Nov 2023 Estoril Praia — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga 4–0
21 May 2023 Casa Pia — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga 2–2
Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Where the edge is Season: Casa Pia favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Estoril Praia in 4 · 4 too close
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive)
Season Last 10 Last 5 Home–Away Style profile Rest and recent workload
Casa Pia 9 matches Estoril Praia 9 matches
1.11 goals/match Goals scored9/9 ▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲ Goals allowed9/9 1.56 goals/match
1.03 xG/match Expected goals8/8 1.01 xG/match
10.3 shots/match Shots9/9 ▲ 12.1 shots/match
3.44 shots/match Shots on target9/9 ▲ 3.89 shots/match
45.9% Possession9/9 ● 50.6%
4.11 corners/match ● Corners9/9 3 corners/match
3.5 cards/match Cards8/8 3.5 cards/match
15.9 fouls/match Fouls9/9 13 fouls/match
Casa Pia 9 matches Estoril Praia 9 matches
1.11 goals/match Goals scored9/9 ▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲ Goals allowed9/9 1.56 goals/match
1.03 xG/match Expected goals8/8 1.01 xG/match
10.3 shots/match Shots9/9 ▲ 12.1 shots/match
3.44 shots/match Shots on target9/9 ▲ 3.89 shots/match
45.9% Possession9/9 ● 50.6%
4.11 corners/match ● Corners9/9 3 corners/match
3.5 cards/match Cards8/8 3.5 cards/match
15.9 fouls/match Fouls9/9 13 fouls/match
Casa Pia 5 matches Estoril Praia 5 matches
1.2 goals/match Goals scored5/5 ▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/match Goals allowed5/5 1.4 goals/match
1.22 xG/match ▲ Expected goals5/4 0.87 xG/match
11.8 shots/match ▲ Shots5/5 10.8 shots/match
3.8 shots/match ▲ Shots on target5/5 3.6 shots/match
5.4 corners/match ● Corners5/5 2.4 corners/match
3.6 cards/match Cards5/4 3.5 cards/match
16.2 fouls/match Fouls5/5 12 fouls/match
Casa Pia 4 matches Estoril Praia 4 matches
0.75 goals/match Goals scored4/4 ▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/match ▲ Goals allowed4/4 2.25 goals/match
0.85 xG/match Expected goals4/4 ▲ 1.21 xG/match
9.25 shots/match Shots4/4 ▲ 12.3 shots/match
3.25 shots/match Shots on target4/4 ▲ 4 shots/match
3.75 corners/match ● Corners4/4 3.25 corners/match
2.5 cards/match Cards4/4 2.75 cards/match
14.8 fouls/match Fouls4/4 13.3 fouls/match
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Attacking volume Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Defensive resistance Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Directness proxy Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Physicality Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94% Set-piece relevance Corner volume relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Tempo and pressure proxy Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches 6.2 days Rest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/1 5.99 days
Casa Pia / Estoril Praia
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis Grade B · Useful evidence Useful evidence — limited
Season samples 9 / 9 home / away teams
Recent samples 5 / 5 last-five windows
Freshness Less than one day from nearest prior match
Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold. Known unknowns Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset. The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season. Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Oct 2025, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4 Team rankings in Primeira Liga 
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga · 2025
Moreirense
Sporting
Gil Vicente
CF Estrela Amadora
CD Nacional