PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025FC Alverca Sports Complex

FC Alverca 2–0 Vitória SC · Primeira Liga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Alverca won 2–0.

Shots
1119
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.671.24
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alverca beat Guimaraes 2–0. Recorded in this match (Alverca – Guimaraes): shots 11–19, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.67–1.24, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alverca have a visible home split

weak

Alverca's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.86 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match8.86 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Alverca's recent record differs from the season

weak

Alverca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Alverca show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Alverca's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.86 shots/match ▲ShotsAlverca · Guimaraes13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlvercaGuimaraesBaseline
Shots8.86 shots/match13.3 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots19 shotsFC Alverca 11 shots, Vitória SC 19 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFC Alverca 4 shots, Vitória SC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG1.24 xGFC Alverca 1.67 xG, Vitória SC 1.24 xG
  • Possession43%57%FC Alverca 43%, Vitória SC 57%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersFC Alverca 1 corner, Vitória SC 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls17 foulsFC Alverca 15 fouls, Vitória SC 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsFC Alverca 3 cards, Vitória SC 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Samu · Guimaraes · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFigueiredo · Alverca · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Amorim · Alverca · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoão Mendes · Guimaraes · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTelmo Arcanjo · Guimaraes · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Abascal · Guimaraes · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rivas · Guimaraes · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rivas · Guimaraes · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabio Blanco · Guimaraes · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatija Mitrović · Guimaraes · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFigueiredo · Alverca · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabio Blanco · Guimaraes · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 61′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFabio Blanco · Guimaraes · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFigueiredo · Alverca · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatija Mitrović · Guimaraes · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Chissumba · Alverca · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 65′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFigueiredo · Alverca · 2′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMiguel Nogueira · Guimaraes · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLincoln · Alverca · 22′ · 0.09 xG · on targetKaiky Naves · Alverca · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSandro Lima · Alverca · 90′ · 0.60 xG · goalMiguel Nogueira · Guimaraes · 46′ · 0.62 xG · off target or blockedMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 41′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Alverca: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.93 xG. Guimaraes: 19 shots, 3 on target, 1.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Marko Milovanović · Alverca · 41′Sandro Lima · Alverca · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Alverca 1.93 xG · Guimaraes 1.21 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Alverca favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória SC in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Alverca7 matchesVitória SC7 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.04 xG/match
8.86 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/73.57 shots/match
43.1%Possession7/7● 49.4%
2.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 3.86 corners/match
3.14 cards/matchCards7/72.14 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls7/714.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AlvercaVitória SC
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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