UEFA Champions League · 2023

Panathinaikos 0–1 Sporting Braga · UEFA Champions League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting Braga won 0–1.

Shots
1119
Shots on target
26
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting Braga beat Panathinaikos 1–0. Recorded in this match (Panathinaikos – Sporting Braga): shots 11–19, shots on target 2–6, possession 58%–42%, corners 11–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sporting Braga show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sporting Braga's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsPanathinaikos · Sporting Braga18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPanathinaikosSporting BragaBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match18 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Panathinaikos's recent record differs from the season

weak

Panathinaikos's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.33 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots19 shotsPanathinaikos 11 shots, Sporting Braga 19 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsPanathinaikos 2 shots, Sporting Braga 6 shots
  • Possession58%42%Panathinaikos 58%, Sporting Braga 42%
  • Corners11 corners3 cornersPanathinaikos 11 corners, Sporting Braga 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsPanathinaikos 12 fouls, Sporting Braga 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fotis Ioannidis · Panathinaikos · 2′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAbel Ruíz · Sporting Braga · 14′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedTonny Vilhena · Panathinaikos · 16′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Marín · Sporting Braga · 18′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedVítor Carvalho · Sporting Braga · 39′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · Sporting Braga · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBruma · Sporting Braga · 45′ · 0.00 xG · on targetVítor Carvalho · Sporting Braga · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · Sporting Braga · 71′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAbel Ruíz · Sporting Braga · 31′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSebastián Palacios · Panathinaikos · 54′ · 0.01 xG · on targetÁlvaro Djaló · Sporting Braga · 57′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAbel Ruíz · Sporting Braga · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFilip Đuričić · Panathinaikos · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Marín · Sporting Braga · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSimon Banza · Sporting Braga · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetVítor Carvalho · Sporting Braga · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Vagiannidis · Panathinaikos · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFotis Ioannidis · Panathinaikos · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVítor Carvalho · Sporting Braga · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuankar · Panathinaikos · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBart Schenkeveld · Panathinaikos · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosé Fonte · Sporting Braga · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFotis Ioannidis · Panathinaikos · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFotis Ioannidis · Panathinaikos · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · Sporting Braga · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRicardo Horta · Sporting Braga · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFotis Ioannidis · Panathinaikos · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBruma · Sporting Braga · 83′ · 0.10 xG · goalRicardo Horta · Sporting Braga · 31′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Panathinaikos: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.27 xG. Sporting Braga: 19 shots, 6 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Bruma · Sporting Braga · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Panathinaikos 0.27 xG · Sporting Braga 0.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Panathinaikos
0Draws
1Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga — Panathinaikos · UEFA Champions League2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Panathinaikos favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Sporting Braga in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Panathinaikos6 matchesSporting Braga4 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/4▲ 2.5 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/4▲ 0.5 goals/match
10.7 shots/matchShots6/4▲ 18 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target6/4▲ 6.75 shots/match
5 corners/matchCorners6/45 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls6/412.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, possession, cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 29 Aug 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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