PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

Galatasaray 2–1 Molde FK · UEFA Champions League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Galatasaray won 2–1.

Shots
912
Shots on target
33
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Galatasaray beat Molde FK 2–1. Recorded in this match (Galatasaray – Molde FK): shots 9–12, shots on target 3–3, possession 60%–40%, corners 2–10. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Molde FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Molde FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsGalatasaray · Molde FK17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGalatasarayMolde FKBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match17.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match6.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Molde FK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Molde FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots12 shotsGalatasaray 9 shots, Molde FK 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsGalatasaray 3 shots, Molde FK 3 shots
  • Possession60%40%Galatasaray 60%, Molde FK 40%
  • Corners2 corners10 cornersGalatasaray 2 corners, Molde FK 10 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls17 foulsGalatasaray 7 fouls, Molde FK 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Magnus Wolff Eikrem · Molde FK · 1′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedTetê · Galatasaray · 39′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedEmil Breivik · Molde FK · 40′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMartin Bjørnbak · Molde FK · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torreira · Galatasaray · 51′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedTetê · Galatasaray · 55′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ellingsen · Molde FK · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ellingsen · Molde FK · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedTetê · Galatasaray · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOla Brynhildsen · Molde FK · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Haugen · Molde FK · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdülkerim Bardakcı · Galatasaray · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVeton Berisha · Molde FK · 77′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOla Brynhildsen · Molde FK · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Haugen · Molde FK · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEirik Hestad · Molde FK · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAbdülkerim Bardakcı · Galatasaray · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAbdülkerim Bardakcı · Galatasaray · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEirik Hestad · Molde FK · 66′ · 0.10 xG · goalAngeliño · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 7′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Galatasaray: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.96 xG. Molde FK: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Mauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 7′Angeliño · Galatasaray · 90′Eirik Hestad · Molde FK · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Galatasaray 0.96 xG · Molde FK 0.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Galatasaray
0Draws
0Molde FK
Molde FK — Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Galatasaray favored in 4 of 9 directional metrics · Molde FK in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Galatasaray6 matchesMolde FK6 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
11.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 17.8 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
57.8% ●Possession5/453.5%
5.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 8.33 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 29 Aug 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsGalatasarayMolde FK
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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