PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

Sporting Braga 2–1 Panathinaikos · UEFA Champions League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting Braga won 2–1.

Shots
168
Shots on target
42
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting Braga beat Panathinaikos 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sporting Braga – Panathinaikos): shots 16–8, shots on target 4–2, possession 54%–46%, corners 5–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Panathinaikos show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Panathinaikos's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsSporting Braga · Panathinaikos10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSporting BragaPanathinaikosBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against5.67 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsSporting Braga 16 shots, Panathinaikos 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsSporting Braga 4 shots, Panathinaikos 2 shots
  • Possession54%46%Sporting Braga 54%, Panathinaikos 46%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerSporting Braga 5 corners, Panathinaikos 1 corner
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsSporting Braga 18 fouls, Panathinaikos 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sebastián Palacios · Panathinaikos · 3′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBruma · Sporting Braga · 12′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedHörður Magnússon · Panathinaikos · 13′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAbel Ruíz · Sporting Braga · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAndré Horta · Sporting Braga · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJosé Fonte · Sporting Braga · 49′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mancini · Panathinaikos · 64′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBruma · Sporting Braga · 68′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Djaló · Sporting Braga · 70′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedHörður Magnússon · Panathinaikos · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastián Palacios · Panathinaikos · 30′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRicardo Horta · Sporting Braga · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBruma · Sporting Braga · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastián Palacios · Panathinaikos · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosé Fonte · Sporting Braga · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Marín · Sporting Braga · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVítor Carvalho · Sporting Braga · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruma · Sporting Braga · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndraž Šporar · Panathinaikos · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbel Ruíz · Sporting Braga · 48′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAbel Ruíz · Sporting Braga · 51′ · 0.10 xG · goalÁlvaro Djaló · Sporting Braga · 73′ · 0.10 xG · goalDaniel Mancini · Panathinaikos · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalRony Lopes · Sporting Braga · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sporting Braga: 16 shots, 4 on target, 0.55 xG. Panathinaikos: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Abel Ruíz · Sporting Braga · 51′Álvaro Djaló · Sporting Braga · 73′Daniel Mancini · Panathinaikos · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sporting Braga 0.55 xG · Panathinaikos 0.18 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting Braga favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Panathinaikos in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting Braga3 matchesPanathinaikos5 matches
3 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/51.6 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/51.4 goals/match
17.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/510.6 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/52.6 shots/match
5.67 corners/match ●Corners3/53.8 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/514 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, possession, cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 23 Aug 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsSporting BragaPanathinaikos
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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