PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

FK Crvena zvezda 2–3 Manchester City · UEFA Champions League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 2–3.

Shots
1110
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.11.36
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat FK Crvena zvezda 3–2. Recorded in this match (FK Crvena zvezda – Manchester City): shots 11–10, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.1–1.36, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFK Crvena zvezda · Manchester City22 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFK Crvena zvezdaManchester CityBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match22 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against23 shots/match5.33 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.3%PossessionFK Crvena zvezda · Manchester City● 70.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 30.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFK Crvena zvezdaManchester CityBaseline
Possession40.3%70.3%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Manchester City have a visible away split

weak

Manchester City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

18 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season22 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18 shots/match22 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots10 shotsFK Crvena zvezda 11 shots, Manchester City 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsFK Crvena zvezda 6 shots, Manchester City 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG1.36 xGFK Crvena zvezda 1.1 xG, Manchester City 1.36 xG
  • Possession31%69%FK Crvena zvezda 31%, Manchester City 69%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersFK Crvena zvezda 2 corners, Manchester City 2 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls9 foulsFK Crvena zvezda 21 fouls, Manchester City 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Srđan Mijailović · FK Crvena zvezda · 52′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGuélor Kanga · FK Crvena zvezda · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJovan Mijatović · FK Crvena zvezda · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOsman Bukari · FK Crvena zvezda · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOsman Bukari · FK Crvena zvezda · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPeter Olayinka · FK Crvena zvezda · 41′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMicah Hamilton · Manchester City · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOscar Bobb · Manchester City · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKalvin Phillips · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOscar Bobb · Manchester City · 62′ · 0.07 xG · goalMicah Hamilton · Manchester City · 19′ · 0.08 xG · goalPhil Foden · Manchester City · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Nunes · Manchester City · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Katai · FK Crvena zvezda · 90′ · 0.11 xG · goalKosta Nedeljković · FK Crvena zvezda · 27′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedHwang In-beom · FK Crvena zvezda · 76′ · 0.20 xG · goalJovan Mijatović · FK Crvena zvezda · 70′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedCherif Ndiaye · FK Crvena zvezda · 51′ · 0.29 xG · on targetKalvin Phillips · Manchester City · 85′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FK Crvena zvezda: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.09 xG. Manchester City: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Hwang In-beom · FK Crvena zvezda · 76′Aleksandar Katai · FK Crvena zvezda · 90′Micah Hamilton · Manchester City · 19′Oscar Bobb · Manchester City · 62′Kalvin Phillips · Manchester City · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FK Crvena zvezda 1.09 xG · Manchester City 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FK Crvena zvezda
0Draws
1Manchester City
Manchester City — FK Crvena zvezda · UEFA Champions League3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Crvena zvezda favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester City in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Crvena zvezda6 matchesManchester City6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 3 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.89 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 22 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 9 shots/match
40.3%Possession6/6● 70.3%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5.67 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls6/67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 13 Dec 2023, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK Crvena zvezdaManchester City
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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