UEFA Champions League · 2023

Manchester City 1–1 Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City and Real Madrid drew 1–1.

Shots
338
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
2.741.44
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City and Real Madrid drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Real Madrid): shots 33–8, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 2.74–1.44, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Manchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21.6 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Real Madrid17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityReal MadridBaseline
Shots21.6 shots/match17.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against6.9 shots/match14.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.4 corners/match ●CornersManchester City · Real Madrid6.1 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityReal MadridBaseline
Corners6.4 corners/match6.1 corners/match5.08 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Real Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots33 shots8 shotsManchester City 33 shots, Real Madrid 8 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsManchester City 9 shots, Real Madrid 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.74 xG1.44 xGManchester City 2.74 xG, Real Madrid 1.44 xG
  • Possession67%33%Manchester City 67%, Real Madrid 33%
  • Corners18 corners1 cornerManchester City 18 corners, Real Madrid 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsManchester City 15 fouls, Real Madrid 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 28′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 96′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodri · Manchester City · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Grealish · Manchester City · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodri · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 27′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 108′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Grealish · Manchester City · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 101′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 111′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Manchester City · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 120′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 26′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 53′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 113′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJack Grealish · Manchester City · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 95′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJack Grealish · Manchester City · 32′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDani Carvajal · Real Madrid · 24′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 82′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 19′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 17′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 76′ · 0.28 xG · goalPhil Foden · Manchester City · 99′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 19′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 105′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 12′ · 0.53 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 12′ · 0.73 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 121′ · 0.82 xG · goalLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 121′ · 0.82 xG · on targetBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 122′ · 0.82 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 123′ · 0.82 xG · goalMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 124′ · 0.82 xG · on targetLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 125′ · 0.82 xG · goalPhil Foden · Manchester City · 125′ · 0.82 xG · goalNacho Fernández · Real Madrid · 126′ · 0.82 xG · goalEderson · Manchester City · 126′ · 0.82 xG · goalAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 127′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 38 shots, 14 on target, 6.92 xG. Real Madrid: 13 shots, 8 on target, 5.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

03.570′HT90′130′Kevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 76′Julián Alvarez · Manchester City · 121′Phil Foden · Manchester City · 125′Ederson · Manchester City · 126′Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 12′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 123′Lucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 125′Nacho Fernández · Real Madrid · 126′Antonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 127′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 6.92 xG · Real Madrid 5.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Manchester City
2Draws
1Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Manchester City · UEFA Champions League3–3
Manchester City — Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League4–0
Real Madrid — Manchester City · UEFA Champions League1–1
Real Madrid — Manchester City · UEFA Champions League2–1
Manchester City — Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League4–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City10 matchesReal Madrid10 matches
2.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/102.2 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.2 goals/match
2.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.95 xG/match
21.6 shots/match ▲Shots10/1017.2 shots/match
8.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/105.7 shots/match
69.9% ●Possession10/1052.7%
6.4 corners/match ●Corners10/106.1 corners/match
7.4 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 17 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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