UEFA Champions League · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 0–2 Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 0–2.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
2.081.13
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund 2–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – Real Madrid): shots 13–13, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 2.08–1.13, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · Real Madrid16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundReal MadridBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Madrid's last-five shots average is below their season average.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.69 corners/matchCornersBorussia Dortmund · Real Madrid● 6.31 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundReal MadridBaseline
Corners5.69 corners/match6.31 corners/match5.08 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsBorussia Dortmund 13 shots, Real Madrid 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsBorussia Dortmund 4 shots, Real Madrid 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.08 xG1.13 xGBorussia Dortmund 2.08 xG, Real Madrid 1.13 xG
  • Possession43%57%Borussia Dortmund 43%, Real Madrid 57%
  • Corners9 corners8 cornersBorussia Dortmund 9 corners, Real Madrid 8 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsBorussia Dortmund 12 fouls, Real Madrid 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Niclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid · 81′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMats Hummels · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIan Maatsen · Borussia Dortmund · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMats Hummels · Borussia Dortmund · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 41′ · 0.04 xG · on targetToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 49′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDani Carvajal · Real Madrid · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 80′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 21′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 28′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 63′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNacho Fernández · Real Madrid · 82′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 23′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDani Carvajal · Real Madrid · 74′ · 0.10 xG · goalDani Carvajal · Real Madrid · 49′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 14′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 77′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 83′ · 0.33 xG · goalNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 23′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 28′ · 0.87 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.11 xG. Real Madrid: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Dani Carvajal · Real Madrid · 74′Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 2.11 xG · Real Madrid 1.16 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund13 matchesReal Madrid13 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 2.15 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.15 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.96 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 16.5 shots/match
4.85 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 5.69 shots/match
45.5%Possession13/13● 53%
5.69 corners/matchCorners13/13● 6.31 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls13/139.92 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Jun 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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