PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Atalanta 5–0 SK Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League

5–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 5–0.

Shots
255
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
5.490.79
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat SK Sturm Graz 5–0. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – SK Sturm Graz): shots 25–5, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 5.49–0.79, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SK Sturm Graz show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SK Sturm Graz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · SK Sturm Graz8.29 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaSK Sturm GrazBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match8.29 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against7.14 shots/match16.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.7% ●PossessionAtalanta · SK Sturm Graz37%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaSK Sturm GrazBaseline
Possession55.7%37%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match2.57 goals/match1.69 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots5 shotsAtalanta 25 shots, SK Sturm Graz 5 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotAtalanta 9 shots, SK Sturm Graz 1 shot
  • Expected goals5.49 xG0.79 xGAtalanta 5.49 xG, SK Sturm Graz 0.79 xG
  • Possession61%39%Atalanta 61%, SK Sturm Graz 39%
  • Corners12 corners1 cornerAtalanta 12 corners, SK Sturm Graz 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsAtalanta 12 fouls, SK Sturm Graz 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ademola Lookman · Atalanta · 58′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOtar Kiteishvili · SK Sturm Graz · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLovro Zvonarek · SK Sturm Graz · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Bøving · SK Sturm Graz · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 44′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 43′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 72′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 17′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 74′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 42′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 63′ · 0.16 xG · goalLovro Zvonarek · SK Sturm Graz · 84′ · 0.20 xG · on targetIsak Hien · Atalanta · 4′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 57′ · 0.45 xG · on targetAmady Camara · SK Sturm Graz · 11′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 12′ · 0.55 xG · goalMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.73 xG · goalAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 24 shots, 8 on target, 4.35 xG. SK Sturm Graz: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.81 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Mateo Retegui · Atalanta · 12′Charles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 63′Ademola Lookman · Atalanta · 90′Marco Brescianini · Atalanta · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 4.35 xG · SK Sturm Graz 0.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atalanta
1Draws
0SK Sturm Graz
Atalanta — SK Sturm Graz · UEFA Europa League1–0
SK Sturm Graz — Atalanta · UEFA Europa League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · SK Sturm Graz in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta7 matchesSK Sturm Graz7 matches
2.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.57 goals/match
0.57 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
2.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.73 xG/match
17.7 shots/match ▲Shots7/78.29 shots/match
6.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.86 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession7/737%
6.43 corners/match ●Corners7/72.71 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls7/713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Jan 2025, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtalantaSK Sturm Graz
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
Head-to-headAtalanta — SK Sturm Graz
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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