PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Feyenoord 3–0 FC Bayern München · UEFA Champions League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Feyenoord won 3–0.

Shots
830
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.772.42
Possession
20%80%

Full time

What the match recorded

Feyenoord beat FC Bayern München 3–0. Recorded in this match (Feyenoord – FC Bayern München): shots 8–30, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.77–2.42, possession 20%–80%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFeyenoord · FC Bayern München21.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFeyenoordFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match21.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against15.9 shots/match7.57 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Bayern München's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Bayern München's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.43 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.9%PossessionFeyenoord · FC Bayern München● 68%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFeyenoordFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession41.9%68%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots30 shotsFeyenoord 8 shots, FC Bayern München 30 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsFeyenoord 3 shots, FC Bayern München 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.77 xG2.42 xGFeyenoord 1.77 xG, FC Bayern München 2.42 xG
  • Possession20%80%Feyenoord 20%, FC Bayern München 80%
  • Corners1 corner13 cornersFeyenoord 1 corner, FC Bayern München 13 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls6 foulsFeyenoord 5 fouls, FC Bayern München 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Raphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeyland Mitchell · Feyenoord · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Giménez · Feyenoord · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Feyenoord · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Feyenoord · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 61′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 33′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 23′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 25′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 35′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Giménez · Feyenoord · 21′ · 0.21 xG · goalJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 60′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 85′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 68′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 42′ · 0.33 xG · on targetAyase Ueda · Feyenoord · 89′ · 0.52 xG · goalSantiago Giménez · Feyenoord · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Feyenoord: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.76 xG. FC Bayern München: 30 shots, 6 on target, 2.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Santiago Giménez · Feyenoord · 21′Santiago Giménez · Feyenoord · 45′Ayase Ueda · Feyenoord · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Feyenoord 1.76 xG · FC Bayern München 2.45 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Feyenoord favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Feyenoord7 matchesFC Bayern München7 matches
2.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/72.43 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 2.67 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 21.4 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 8.57 shots/match
41.9%Possession7/7● 68%
3.14 corners/matchCorners7/7● 8.57 corners/match
9.71 fouls/matchFouls7/79.57 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFeyenoordFC Bayern München
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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