PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Stade Brestois 0–3 Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 0–3.

Shots
1616
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.962.72
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Stade Brestois 3–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 16–16, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.96–2.72, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Brestois's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint-Germain have a visible away split

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season18.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match18.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.8%PossessionStade Brestois · Paris Saint-Germain● 61.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession42.8%61.9%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots16 shotsStade Brestois 16 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsStade Brestois 2 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG2.72 xGStade Brestois 0.96 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 2.72 xG
  • Possession38%62%Stade Brestois 38%, Paris Saint-Germain 62%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersStade Brestois 6 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsStade Brestois 7 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Brendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSoumaila Coulibaly · Stade Brestois · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIbrahim Salah · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 68′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKenny Lala · Stade Brestois · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMassadio Haïdara · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.07 xG · goalAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 63′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 66′ · 0.11 xG · goalAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 48′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 35′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 62′ · 0.16 xG · on targetBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois · 79′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 38′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 17′ · 0.29 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 58′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 29′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 21′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois: 16 shots, 2 on target, 0.97 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Vitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 21′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 0.97 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 2.68 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Stade Brestois
1Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Stade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–5
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–2
Stade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–3
Stade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois9 matchesParis Saint-Germain9 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.89 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1 goal/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 2.12 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 18.3 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 6.33 shots/match
42.8%Possession9/9● 61.9%
3.56 corners/matchCorners9/9● 6.67 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls9/99.78 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 11 Feb 2025, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
Head-to-headStade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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