PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Paris Saint-Germain 4–1 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 4–1.

Shots
169
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
3.141
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat AS Monaco 4–1. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – AS Monaco): shots 16–9, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 3.14–1, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Monaco's recent record differs from the season

weak

AS Monaco's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.76 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.2 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · AS Monaco14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainAS MonacoBaseline
Shots18.2 shots/match14.5 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against8.95 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

68.7% ●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · AS Monaco56%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainAS MonacoBaseline
Possession68.7%56%47.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsParis Saint-Germain 16 shots, AS Monaco 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsParis Saint-Germain 7 shots, AS Monaco 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.14 xG1 xGParis Saint-Germain 3.14 xG, AS Monaco 1 xG
  • Possession64%36%Paris Saint-Germain 64%, AS Monaco 36%
  • Corners1 corner1 cornerParis Saint-Germain 1 corner, AS Monaco 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsParis Saint-Germain 9 fouls, AS Monaco 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVanderson · AS Monaco · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 6′ · 0.04 xG · goalTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 77′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 61′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 65′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 56′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 17′ · 0.17 xG · goalTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 5′ · 0.33 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 57′ · 0.34 xG · goalGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 84′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 54′ · 0.64 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 16 shots, 7 on target, 3.10 xG. AS Monaco: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Vitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 6′Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 54′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 57′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′Denis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 17′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 3.10 xG · AS Monaco 0.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Paris Saint-Germain
2Draws
1AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–4
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–0
Paris Saint-Germain — AS Monaco · Ligue 15–2
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain21 matchesAS Monaco21 matches
2.76 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.76 goals/match
0.95 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.33 goals/match
2.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/212.12 xG/match
18.2 shots/match ▲Shots21/2114.5 shots/match
8.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/215.38 shots/match
68.7% ●Possession21/2156%
6.81 corners/match ●Corners21/215.05 corners/match
9.24 fouls/matchFouls21/2113.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Feb 2025, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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