PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Nantes 0–2 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

Nantes

DDDDW
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 0–2.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.12.51
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois beat Nantes 2–0. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Stade Brestois): shots 15–10, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.1–2.51, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes have a visible home split

moderate

Nantes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match10.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsNantes 15 shots, Stade Brestois 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsNantes 2 shots, Stade Brestois 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG2.51 xGNantes 1.1 xG, Stade Brestois 2.51 xG
  • Possession59%41%Nantes 59%, Stade Brestois 41%
  • Corners12 corners4 cornersNantes 12 corners, Stade Brestois 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsNantes 15 fouls, Stade Brestois 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Massadio Haïdara · Stade Brestois · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSaïdou Sow · Nantes · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJohann Lepenant · Nantes · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPedro Chirivella · Nantes · 39′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMatthis Abline · Nantes · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Cozza · Nantes · 81′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 43′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPedro Chirivella · Nantes · 69′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJean-Charles Castelletto · Nantes · 17′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAugusto Douglas · Nantes · 63′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMeschak Elia · Nantes · 78′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 20′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 58′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.34 xG · goalLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 37′ · 0.57 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 9′ · 0.77 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 15 shots, 2 on target, 1.11 xG. Stade Brestois: 10 shots, 6 on target, 2.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 9′Pierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 1.11 xG · Stade Brestois 2.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nantes
1Draws
3Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Nantes · Ligue 14–1
Stade Brestois — Nantes · Ligue 10–0
Nantes — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–2
Stade Brestois — Nantes · Ligue 12–0
Nantes — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes21 matchesStade Brestois21 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.71 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals21/20▲ 1.27 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots21/20▲ 11.9 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target21/20▲ 5.05 shots/match
41.1%Possession21/20● 48.4%
4.9 corners/match ●Corners21/203.8 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls21/2012.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Feb 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNantesStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headNantes — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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