PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Arsenal 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League

Arsenal

WWDWW
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 0–1.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.631.16
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Arsenal 1–0. Recorded in this match (Arsenal – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 10–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.63–1.16, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint-Germain's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.07 goals/match1.6 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint-Germain have a visible away split

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season19.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match19.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsArsenal · Paris Saint-Germain19.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArsenalParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match19.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match9.67 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsArsenal 10 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsArsenal 5 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.63 xG1.16 xGArsenal 1.63 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.16 xG
  • Possession48%52%Arsenal 48%, Paris Saint-Germain 52%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerArsenal 3 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsArsenal 15 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Désiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kiwior · Arsenal · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kiwior · Arsenal · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 26′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarquinhos · Paris Saint-Germain · 14′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 31′ · 0.07 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 4′ · 0.09 xG · goalJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 78′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 41′ · 0.15 xG · on targetGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.21 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 56′ · 0.25 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 84′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 85′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 40′ · 0.87 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arsenal: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.69 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 4′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 1.69 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 1.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Arsenal
0Draws
0Paris Saint-Germain
Arsenal — Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal13 matchesParis Saint-Germain15 matches
2.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/152.07 goals/match
0.62 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/150.93 goals/match
1.87 xG/matchExpected goals13/15▲ 2.11 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots13/15▲ 19.1 shots/match
6.15 shots/matchShots on target13/15▲ 7 shots/match
50.8%Possession13/15● 62.8%
5.46 corners/matchCorners13/15● 6.6 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls13/158.73 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 29 Apr 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsArsenalParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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