Ligue 1 · 2023Fri, 6 Oct 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

RC Strasbourg

WLDWL

1–2Full-time recap

Nantes

DDWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	RC Strasbourg	Nantes
Shots	11 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.69 xG/match	1.94 xG/match▲
Possession	44%	56%●
Corners	3 corners/match	11 corners/match●
Fouls	15 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

RC Strasbourg: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.71 xG. Nantes: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Strasbourg 0.71 xG · Nantes 2.08 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: RC Strasbourg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: RC Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

RC Strasbourg have a visible home split

moderate

RC Strasbourg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.4 shots/match	8 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

RC Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

weak

RC Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2RC Strasbourg

2Draws

0Nantes

7 May 2023Nantes — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–2

31 Aug 2022RC Strasbourg — Nantes · Ligue 11–1

6 Feb 2022RC Strasbourg — Nantes · Ligue 11–0

7 Nov 2021Nantes — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

RC Strasbourg favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Nantes in 5 · 2 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲1.75 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/81.88 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/8▲1.23 xG/match

1.29 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/81.99 xG/match

8 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲11.1 shots/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/816.6 shots/match

2.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲4.63 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/86.25 shots/match

42.6%●Possessionseason · 8/842.4%

2.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/8●4.63 corners/match

4.63 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/85.75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/812.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/813%

63%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

RC Strasbourg19.4

Nantes13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

RC Strasbourg8.3

Nantes52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

RC Strasbourg56.5

Nantes12

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

RC Strasbourg2.8

Nantes52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

RC Strasbourg80.6

Nantes47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

RC Strasbourg2.8

Nantes52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

RC Strasbourg22.2

Nantes45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg8 matchesNantes8 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.75 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.88 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲1.23 xG/match

8 shots/matchShots8/8▲11.1 shots/match

2.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲4.63 shots/match

42.6%●Possession8/842.4%

2.13 corners/matchCorners8/8●4.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.4 fouls/matchFouls8/812.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

RC Strasbourg5 matchesNantes4 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/41 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/41.5 goals/match

1.59 xG/match▲Expected goals5/41.17 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShots5/4▲12 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲4.75 shots/match

42.4%Possession5/4●45%

2.2 corners/matchCorners5/4●5.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/415 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.01 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 6 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4