PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Stade Rennais 3–1 Nantes · Ligue 1

3–1Historical match

Nantes

LDDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 3–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.681
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Rennais beat Nantes 3–1. Recorded in this match (Stade Rennais – Nantes): shots 16–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.68–1, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Rennais show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stade Rennais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Rennais · Nantes10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisNantesBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match17.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Stade Rennais have a visible home split

weak

Stade Rennais's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsStade Rennais 16 shots, Nantes 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsStade Rennais 5 shots, Nantes 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.68 xG1 xGStade Rennais 2.68 xG, Nantes 1 xG
  • Possession59%41%Stade Rennais 59%, Nantes 41%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersStade Rennais 6 corners, Nantes 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsStade Rennais 11 fouls, Nantes 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Amine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAugusto Douglas · Nantes · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Nantes · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 28′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBertuğ Yıldırım · Stade Rennais · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Kader Bamba · Nantes · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 32′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Stade Rennais · 73′ · 0.07 xG · goalArthur Theate · Stade Rennais · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 42′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 19′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedArthur Theate · Stade Rennais · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 64′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Sissoko · Nantes · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBertuğ Yıldırım · Stade Rennais · 55′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 80′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedPedro Chirivella · Nantes · 45′ · 0.47 xG · goalBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 6′ · 0.82 xG · goalArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Rennais: 16 shots, 5 on target, 2.76 xG. Nantes: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Benjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 6′Désiré Doué · Stade Rennais · 73′Arnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 90′Pedro Chirivella · Nantes · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Rennais 2.76 xG · Nantes 0.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Stade Rennais
0Draws
1Nantes
Nantes — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–1
Stade Rennais — Nantes · Ligue 13–0
Nantes — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–1
Stade Rennais — Nantes · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais7 matchesNantes7 matches
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.71 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
1.86 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.13 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.4 shots/match
6.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74.29 shots/match
57.4% ●Possession7/740.4%
4.43 corners/match ●Corners7/73.71 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls7/712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisNantes
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headStade Rennais — Nantes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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