PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Strasbourg 0–1 RC Lens · Ligue 1

0–1Historical match

RC Lens

DLLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 0–1.

Shots
89
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.290.75
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Lens beat RC Strasbourg 1–0. Recorded in this match (RC Strasbourg – RC Lens): shots 8–9, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.29–0.75, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Lens have a visible away split

weak

RC Lens's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match16.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

RC Strasbourg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RC Strasbourg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.57 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Strasbourg · RC Lens16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgRC LensBaseline
Shots7.57 shots/match16.3 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

weak

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots9 shotsRC Strasbourg 8 shots, RC Lens 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsRC Strasbourg 2 shots, RC Lens 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.29 xG0.75 xGRC Strasbourg 0.29 xG, RC Lens 0.75 xG
  • Possession48%52%RC Strasbourg 48%, RC Lens 52%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersRC Strasbourg 2 corners, RC Lens 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsRC Strasbourg 16 fouls, RC Lens 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Habib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Perrin · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLebo Mothiba · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMorgan Guilavogui · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · RC Lens · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGerzino Nyamsi · RC Strasbourg · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 86′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 80′ · 0.12 xG · on targetElye Wahi · RC Lens · 16′ · 0.14 xG · goalAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Strasbourg: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.30 xG. RC Lens: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Elye Wahi · RC Lens · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Strasbourg 0.30 xG · RC Lens 0.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Strasbourg
1Draws
1RC Lens
RC Lens — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — RC Lens · Ligue 12–2
RC Strasbourg — RC Lens · Ligue 11–0
RC Lens — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg7 matchesRC Lens7 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored7/71 goal/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.15 xG/match
7.57 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 16.3 shots/match
2.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.29 shots/match
42.4%Possession7/7● 53.1%
2 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.71 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls7/714.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Sept 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgRC Lens
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headRC Strasbourg — RC Lens
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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