PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Metz 0–1 Nice · Ligue 1

Metz

WDWLL
0–1Historical match

Nice

DWWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice won 0–1.

Shots
107
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.41.36
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice beat Metz 1–0. Recorded in this match (Metz – Nice): shots 10–7, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.4–1.36, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metz show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Metz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.25 shots/match ▲ShotsMetz · Nice14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMetzNiceBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match14 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match8.63 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metz have a visible home split

weak

Metz's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.25 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.25 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsMetz 10 shots, Nice 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsMetz 3 shots, Nice 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.4 xG1.36 xGMetz 0.4 xG, Nice 1.36 xG
  • Possession32%68%Metz 32%, Nice 68%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersMetz 1 corner, Nice 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsMetz 9 fouls, Nice 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fali Candé · Metz · 62′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFali Candé · Metz · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetÓscar Estupiñán · Metz · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetÓscar Estupiñán · Metz · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKoffi Kouao · Metz · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBadredine Bouanani · Nice · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAblie Jallow · Metz · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEvann Guessand · Nice · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIsmaël Traoré · Metz · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJérémie Boga · Nice · 30′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAblie Jallow · Metz · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Estupiñán · Metz · 22′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDante · Nice · 26′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Metz · 38′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTerem Moffi · Nice · 58′ · 0.26 xG · on targetHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 14′ · 0.83 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Metz: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.39 xG. Nice: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Hicham Boudaoui · Nice · 14′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Metz 0.39 xG · Nice 1.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Metz
0Draws
1Nice
Metz — Nice · Ligue 10–2
Nice — Metz · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Metz favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Nice in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Metz8 matchesNice8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.5 goals/match
0.7 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.48 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.13 shots/match
35%Possession8/8● 52.5%
2.88 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.88 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls8/811.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Oct 2023, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMetzNice
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headMetz — Nice
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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