PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Stade Rennais 1–3 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 1–3.

Shots
1417
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.133.51
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Stade Rennais 3–1. Recorded in this match (Stade Rennais – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 14–17, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.13–3.51, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Rennais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Rennais's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.75 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Rennais have a visible home split

moderate

Stade Rennais's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.5%PossessionStade Rennais · Paris Saint-Germain● 70%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession55.5%70%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots17 shotsStade Rennais 14 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsStade Rennais 4 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG3.51 xGStade Rennais 1.13 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 3.51 xG
  • Possession42%58%Stade Rennais 42%, Paris Saint-Germain 58%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersStade Rennais 1 corner, Paris Saint-Germain 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsStade Rennais 12 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lorenz Assignon · Stade Rennais · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 32′ · 0.03 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 83′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 6′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLorenz Assignon · Stade Rennais · 51′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 41′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 14′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 28′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 44′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 76′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBertuğ Yıldırım · Stade Rennais · 85′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 56′ · 0.18 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.20 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 55′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 36′ · 0.41 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 81′ · 0.49 xG · on targetRandal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 58′ · 0.53 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 86′ · 0.85 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Rennais: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.12 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 17 shots, 7 on target, 3.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Amine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 56′Vitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 32′Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 36′Randal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Rennais 1.12 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 3.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Stade Rennais
0Draws
1Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–2
Stade Rennais — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–0
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–0
Stade Rennais — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais8 matchesParis Saint-Germain8 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.13 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.77 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 2.37 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 17.5 shots/match
6.13 shots/matchShots on target8/76.14 shots/match
55.5%Possession8/8● 70%
4 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.13 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls8/810.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headStade Rennais — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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