PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Lens 1–1 Lille · Ligue 1

RC Lens

LLLWW
1–1Historical match

Lille

LWDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens and Lille drew 1–1.

Shots
148
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.961.7
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Lens and Lille drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – Lille): shots 14–8, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.96–1.7, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Lens have a visible home split

weak

RC Lens's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.8 shots/match16 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

weak

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lille have recorded the higher season possession share.

52%PossessionRC Lens · Lille● 61.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRC LensLilleBaseline
Possession52%61.4%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsRC Lens 14 shots, Lille 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsRC Lens 5 shots, Lille 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.96 xG1.7 xGRC Lens 1.96 xG, Lille 1.7 xG
  • Possession44%56%RC Lens 44%, Lille 56%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersRC Lens 8 corners, Lille 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsRC Lens 14 fouls, Lille 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Przemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRémy Cabella · Lille · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 4′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIvan Cavaleiro · Lille · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 23′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 23′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 30′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPrzemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 15′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 70′ · 0.13 xG · goalMorgan Guilavogui · RC Lens · 67′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJonathan David · Lille · 78′ · 0.16 xG · on targetBenjamin André · Lille · 74′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 45′ · 0.54 xG · goalRémy Cabella · Lille · 51′ · 0.60 xG · off target or blockedSalis Abdul Samed · RC Lens · 47′ · 0.72 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.98 xG. Lille: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Deiver Machado · RC Lens · 70′Benjamin André · Lille · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 1.98 xG · Lille 1.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Lens
1Draws
1Lille
RC Lens — Lille · Ligue 11–1
Lille — RC Lens · Ligue 11–0
Lille — RC Lens · Ligue 11–2
RC Lens — Lille · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens8 matchesLille8 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.4 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots8/813.9 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.5 shots/match
52%Possession8/8● 61.4%
6.88 corners/match ●Corners8/85 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls8/810.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 19:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensLille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headRC Lens — Lille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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